Your Best Bets for UFC 169’s ‘Submission of the Night’

frank-mirYour Best Bets for UFC 169’s ‘Submission of the Night’ UFC 169 from the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ., will be live with 12 scheduled bouts, including a five card Pay-Per-View main card that is sure to produce fireworks. After the fights conclude, the UFC will be awarding a $50,000 ‘Submission of the Night’ bonus for the most exciting bout of the evening. To place a wager on this prop, or any others for UFC 169, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. I believe the top contenders for this prize are: Urijah Faber +1100 — If you are backing “The California Kid” in this rematch, then this is the best bet you could make, as it offers the most value. Sure, it is possible Faber could win a split decision, or even score a knockout, but I think if he wins, more often than not it will be via submission. Even if he hurts Barao with strikes, I think he will wrap it up with a choke, instead of going after the TKO. He has more confidence in his chokes than anything else, so when he has his opponents hurt, he goes for his true finisher. If you like Faber here, then this is the best bang for your buck. If he scores the submission over Barao, there’s no doubt he’s taking home the bonus. Faber already owns two ‘Submission of the Night’ awards in the UFC, and a couple more from his WEC days. He knows how to finish fights, and in exciting fashion. Frank Mir +1400 — It is no secret that a submission is Mir’s best shot at getting his hand raised. If you’re backing Mir in this match-up, then this is a bet you should be looking at. “Bigfoot” knocked Overeem out, so I would not be shocked if Mir does the same, but I think if he is going to get his hand raised, more often than not it is going to be because he caught Overeem slippin’ on the mat. Mir already owns three ‘Submission of the Night’ honors, so this would be his fourth, should be manage to find the upset by earning the tap. Andy Enz +700 — Enz is a promotional newcomer who is talented on the mat and well-versed in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, an area of mixed martial arts which I personally think is Clint Hester’s main weakness. His defensive grappling is not the greatest. If Enz gets the fight to the mat, I don’t think Hester’s submission defense will be good enough. I think Enz will manage to find a tap. Enz has a clear path to victory in this match-up, and that is to use his strength which is Hester’s weakness. If he looks to take the fight to the mat right off the bat, I think he will find success. The question is if that will be his game-plan, or if he will choose to stand against Hester. He is good on the feet, as well, so I could see him keeping the fight on the feet and trying to outpoint Hester there, but I just don’t think that would be the wisest choice. In interviews, he has been saying that he is going to keep this fight standing and outstrike Hester, however I feel that he just wants Hester to be expecting that, so he’ll be caught off guard when Enz takes him down. At +700, I think there is value in this prop. No Submissions +500 — There is a very good chance UFC 169 could wrap-up without there being a single submission victory on the entire card. At +500, I think it is worth a play. I think Enz +700 and No Submissions +500 are two bets worth giving a shot with, and hopefully one of them will cash. But if you’re backing Faber and Mir, which I am not, you may want to be looking at those props, as well. If you are big on Barao and Overeem, you may still want to be looking at those for a small hedge, since if Barao or Overeem lose, there is a good chance the prop will cash.

Written by Gabe Killian

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