UFC 202 Date: August 20, 2016 Arena: T-Mobile Arena City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in the fight capital of the world, Las Vegas, NV on August 20, 2016 with UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor II. Main card action will be kicking off on Pay Per View at 10pm ET, with preliminary bouts preceding it on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm ET and on UFC Fight Pass at 6:30pm ET. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my live dogs: Light Heavyweight bout: Anthony “Rumble” Johnson (-210) vs Glover Teixeira (+175) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think this light heavyweight match-up is a lot closer than the betting odds currently suggest. To put it simply, I think the best Glover Teixeira beats the best Anthony Johnson. He can be competitive on the feet, has a better ground game, not to mention more heart and a bigger will to win. I think this is a close fight in which Teixeira should be a slight +120 underdog, so at his current offering price of +175, I’ll take him for a small play. Given this much value, I would normally make my play a little bigger, however I am keeping in mind that Teixeira is up there in age and Rumble packs serious power, so I am opting to keep it smaller than I would normally. Gabe’s Call: Teixeira by Submission (arm triangle choke, 3:12 round 3) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Teixeira (+175) 1u to win 1.75u Welterweight bout: Rick “The Horror” Story (+140) vs Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (-160) Gabe’s Thoughts: I believe Story is the superior of the two welterweights heading into this contest, largely in part due to his advantage is size and strength. I see him pressuring Cerrone in this contest, finding success with his boxing and potentially putting the former UFC lightweight title challenger away with a TKO. I think Story will be effective with his body shots in this contest and think he will manage to outstrike Cerrone, who on paper is the superior striker heading into the 170-pound affair. I think Story can also mix in takedowns and work from top position while successfully defending Cerrone’s submission attempts. I believe this is Story’s fight to lose and think he should be a -240 betting favorite heading into the contest, so at his current underdog price of +140, I do like him for a big play. Gabe’s Call: Story by T/KO (punches in bunches, 2:59 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Story (+140) 5u to win 7u
