UFC Fight Night 38 fantasy preview plus $250 Kountermove freeroll for MMAOddsBreaker readers

KountermoveThe mixed martial arts (MMA) fantasy website Kountermove is back with another freeroll for MMAOddsBreaker.com readers. If you’re not familiar with how the site works, here’s a brief snippet from the site owners, themselves.

Kountermove brings the traditional fantasy format to MMA. Accumulation of points and a salary cap make fantasy MMA more intriguing than your basic “pick ’em” contest. With other industry pros on the site it is the place to be if you know your MMA. The game is fairly simple on its face, games are played over a single night during one event. Prior to the event, players get a total of $25,000 fantasy dollars to pick five fighters for your team. Each fighter is given a specific salary by Kountermove. Kountermove assigns a value for each fighter based on how we believe the fight will go. Points are scored if a fighter scores a finish, wins a round, lands significant strikes, knocks an opponent down, scores takedowns, secures dominant positions or attempts submissions. The more dominant your fighters’performance, the more points you’re going to score. If you score more points than your opponents, then you win the money.

To enter the free $250 tournament for MMAOddsBreaker.com readers, just click the link below: http://www.kountermove.com/join/23987-fn-38-mma-oddsbreaker-250-tourney-on-ufc-fight-night-38-shogun-vs-henderson-T-free/ If you don’t have an account, don’t worry, you can create one for free, but do it quickly, spacing is limited! If you’re interested in a few pointers on potential fighters to pick, I’ll be offering my analysis and potential picks to click. In case you have your doubts, I have a very nice track record of success with the website, having won plenty since its inception. Before I get to my picks, remember that to get the best value out of your team, you have to try to get an average of $5000 per fighter with your team of five fighters and your $25,000 salary cap. That means if you want to pick a big favorite from UFC Fight Night 38 like Diego Brandao ($5700), you have to balance it out by picking some underdogs that you think will perform above and beyond. Sometimes it’s not worth it to pick the overwhelming favorite. Without further ado, here are some of the picks that stand out for me: Ronny Markes ($5400): Normally Markes is a Kountermove points black hole due to his grinding style and his penchant for clinch work, but I see some value in him here against Thiago Santos, an undersized middleweight who honestly probably doesn’t belong in the UFC. Santos was absolutely murdered by Cezar Mutante in his UFC debut, a fight he took on short notice and I’m shocked that he’s not dropping down a weight class for his sophomore effort. Markes isn’t known as a finisher but against someone like Santos who he has such a tremendous size and skill advantage against, he has a pretty good chance of scoring big points this time around. Underdog Pick of the Night Scott Jorgensen ($4400): Sure, Jorgensen has lost four of his last five fights, but “Young Guns” still has plenty of pop left in his fists. He’s stepping into the Octagon opposite Jussier Formiga, the former number one ranked flyweight in the world who’s also fallen on hard times. Unlike Jorgensen, however, Formiga has almost zero solid stand-up ability and has in fact been finished in devastating fashion by John Dodson and Joseph Benavidez respectively. I feel Jorgensen can repeat that success and at $4400, he’s an absolute steal considering he’s a pretty sizable betting favorite right now. Fighter to Avoid Dan Henderson ($5100): Yes, “Hendo” had one of the greatest performances in UFC history the last time he battled against Shogun, but that was back in 2011, practically a lifetime ago. At 43 years old, the veteran has begun to finally show his age inside the cage which has led to three straight losses (granted, against stellar opposition) including the first stoppage loss via strikes in his lengthy career. Considering the fact that Shogun is fighting on his home turf, Henderson’s granite chin is finally starting to show signs of cracking and the fact that neither man has looked the same since their epic first encounter, I think you should avoid Henderson at all costs this time around. Complete UFC Fight Night 38 Preview If my fantasy preview isn’t enough for you, Fight Scientist Reed Kuhn, MMA Oddsmaker Nick Kalikas and myself did an extensive preview of the entire UFC Fight Night 38  fight card in part one of the Premium Oddscast, which was posted yesterday. Feel free to check out our latest episode. There’s plenty of combinations for great teams with 12 total bouts for this event:

Thanks for reading and good luck!

Written by Brian Hemminger

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UFC Fight Night 38 Play: Thiago “Marreta” Santos (+435) vs Ronny Markes (-705)