Fights to Avoid Betting for UFC 207

Ray BorgUFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey Date: December 30, 2016 Arena: T-Mobile Arena City: Las Vegas, NV The UFC 207 fight card is stacked with 10 scheduled bouts, with preliminary action getting underway at 6:30 p.m. (ET) on UFC Fight Pass and continuing on FOX Sports 1 at 8 p.m. The main card will be live on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m., and all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakers. My Fights to AVOID betting are: Flyweight bout bout: Louis Smolka (+100) vs. Ray Borg (-120) Gabe’s Thoughts: I initially favored Borg in this spot, but after doing my homework on the matchup, I have switched my official pick to Smolka. That said, while I am siding with the Hawaiian to get his hand raised in this 125-pound contest, I don’t feel so comfortable backing him with my wallet at his current offering price of +100. If the public keeps coming in on Borg and we see Smolka rise up to +125 or better, then I will like him for a play. Currently, at these odds, I think this scrap is best left avoiding at the sportsbook this weekend. Gabe’s Call: Smolka by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-37, 30-37) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID Middleweight bout: Antonio Carlos Junior (-145) vs. Marvin Vettori (+125) Gabe’s Thoughts: I keep going back and forth as to who my official pick is for this 185-pound contest. I will likely need to see the fighters step foot on the scale at the weigh-ins before making my final decision. I do agree with the current betting lines in that this is a very close fight that could go either way, so I see no value in either ACJ or Vettori to be moved into making a play. I think we are best off avoiding this matchup at the sportsbook as well. This fight will undoubtedly be the stiffest test of Vettori’s professional mixed martial arts career, but it is one I could see passing. Gabe’s Call: ACJ by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID

Written by Gabe Killian

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