Prop Plays for UFC Fight Night 85 in Australia

Alan_JoubanUFC Fight Night 85 Date: March 19, 2016 Arena: Brisbane Entertainment Centre City: Brisbane, Australia The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to Brisbane, Australia for the second time in promotional histry with UFC Fight Night 85: Hunt vs Mir. The action-packed card will feature 12 bouts in its entirety, with the main card getting going at 10pm ET on FOX Sports 1 and preliminary action preceding it on the same channel at 8pm ET, with a trio of bouts before it on UFC Fight Pass at 6:30pm ET. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my prop plays: Frank Mir (+120) vs Mark Hunt (-130) Mir by Submission (+240) 1u to win 2.4u Mir by Decision (+1000) 1u to win 10u I think Mir by submission is the most likely outcome to this heavyweight contest. If this fight should hit the judges’ scorecards for a decision, which I could see happening, then I favor Mir to take the nod there, and at +1000, I think here is value there. Hector Lombard (-110) vs Neil Magny (+100) Lombard Inside the Distance (+194) 1u to win 1.94u Lombard by Submission (+1000) 1u to win 10u Putting it simply, I think Lombard stands a good chance of either knocking out or submitting Magny. Jake Matthews (+110) vs Johnny Case (-110) Case by Submission (+476) 1u to win 4.76u While I think Matthews has somewhat of a better Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu game, I could see Case catching him with a submission in this bout, probably similar to how James Vick caught him in the Australian’s lone career defeat. At the current offering price of +476, I think it’s worth a shot. Antonio Carlos Junior (-475) vs Dan Kelly (+420) Junior Inside the Distance (-240) 2.4u to win 1u In short, I expect ACJ to completely dominate Kelly, likely making quick work of the Australian. This is a mismatch and I think we will see it from the opening bell. Alan Jouban (-525) vs Brendan O’Reilly (+475) Jouban Inside the Distance (-188) 1.88u to win 1u Jouban by Submission (+895) 1u to win 8.95u This is another fight I think is a mismatch and I believe it will be a walk in the park for Jouban. O’Reilly has a good chin and is durable, but I think Jouban will manage to put him away; likely in the opening frame of action. Jouban also has an excellent and under-rated submission game, so I could see him tapping O’Reilly, whether it is off an O’Reilly takedown or after he follows the Australian to the mat after hurting him on the feet. Regardless, at +895, I think this prop holds value and is worthy of a wager.

Written by Gabe Killian

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