Prop Plays for UFC 194

john-makdessi-ufc-158UFC 194 Date: December 12, 2015 Arena: MGM Grand Garden Arena City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will be live and on Pay Per View from the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, NV on December 12, 2016 with UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor. The stacked 12-fight card will kick off with Fight Pass prelims at 7pm ET and preliminary action will continue at 8pm ET on FOX Sports 1. The main card will get underway at 10pm ET on Pay Per View. The Aldo vs McGregor featherweight title bout will be headlining the card, and the co-main event will be a middleweight title fight between defending champion Chris Weidman and challenger Luke Rockhold. On paper, UFC 194 is arguably the greatest card in UFC history. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my prop plays: Ronaldo “Jacare: Souza (-150) vs Yoel “Soldier of God” Romero (+130) Romero in Round One (+450) 1u to win 4.5u Romero in Round Two (+650) .4u to win 2.6u Romero in Round Three (+1225) .6u to win 7.35u Simply put, I see value in these lines, especially Romero in Round Three at +1225, as he has finished all but one of his UFC fights inside of the third and final round of action. Colby Covington (-120) vs Warlley Alves (+100) Covington by Decision (+166) 2u to win 3.32u I see Covington using his superior wrestling to grind out a win against the Brazilian in this contest. I think Covington getting his hand raised by decision is the most likely outcome to this welterweight affair. I could see him losing the first round and then going on to win the second and third, but more often than not, I think he takes all three rounds for a unanimous 30-27 nod on the judges’ scorecards at Octagon-side. As long as he does not get finished early, I think Covington walks away with this one and stays undefeated, while handing Alves the first official loss of his professional mixed martial arts career. Kevin Lee (-700) vs Leonardo Santos (+500) Lee by Decision (-108) 1.08u to win 1u There’s no way I could make a straight play on this fight, as I think Lee is over-valued at -700 and I can’t get myself to bet Santos against him, even at the appealing underdog tag of +500. That said, I do think there is value in this prop, as I see a Kevin Lee decision victory as being the most likely outcome to this 155-pound contest and think there’s value in the prop at -108, especially considering the fact that he is -700 straight up on the moneyline. John Makdessi (-165) vs Yancy Medeiros (+145) Makdessi by T/KO (+175) 1u to win 1.75u I think there is a good chance that Makdessi ends this fight via strikes. He is an accurate striker and I see him connecting and hurting Medeiros in this contest. The Hawaiian showed big holes in his defensive striking in his last outing against Dustin Poirier, where he was knocked out in the very first round of action. He also weighed in 3.5 over-weight for that bout, and with the new IV-ban in place now, I could see him fading fairly quickly, which would allow the Lebanese-Canadian to T-off until the referee opts to step in and halt the action, awarding Makdessi the victory via T/KO stoppage.

Written by Gabe Killian

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