UFC 183 Betting Movers and Shakers

mma-betting-oddsIt took until just a few days leading up to UFC 183 for the betting odds to start taking off. But much like the Super Bowl, the UFC lines have really moved in Las Vegas toward the end of the week thanks in part to the thousands of visitors who are in town to wager on the big game as well. The main event between Anderson “The Spider” Silva (33-6) and Nick Diaz (26-9) is among the leaders as expected. Silva, the former longtime middleweight champion, opened as a -420 favorite (bet $420 to win $100) at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook and moved to -500 on Wednesday before jumping to -650 on Friday. Many other sportsbooks also responded Friday by bumping Silva up to -500, the first line move at Several Bookmakers since Tuesday when he went from -460 to -470 after opening at -440. Silva moved to -570 there on Saturday with Diaz up to +435. UFC commentator Jon Anik noted that Diaz might be worth a look if he gets north of +400, which is certainly the case now. While the main event will likely continue moving in the favorite’s direction from a betting perspective, the two biggest movers for UFC 183 will fight earlier in the night, as Derek Brunson (12-3) takes on Ed Herman (22-10, 1 No-Contest) and Thales Leites (24-4) battles Tim Boetsch (18-7) in two more middleweight bouts. Brunson is the biggest favorite on the board, sitting -800 at the SuperBook and -660 at Several Bookmakers as of early Saturday. Herman has split his last two UFC fights, both by unanimous decision against two opponents who will also be participating on this card (a loss to Leites and a win over Rafael Natal). Leites is a -465 favorite at Several Bookmakers, riding a seven-bout winning streak into Vegas following a second-round knockout victory against Francis Carmont last Aug. 23 that earned him a Performance of the Night bonus. Boetsch has won two of three, with the lone loss over that stretch coming to Luke Rockhold via first-round submission at UFC 172. He scored a second-round TKO of Brad Tavares in his last fight in August to win a Performance of the Night Bonus as well, making for an interesting matchup with Leites. Please note: Kelvin Gastelum missed weight on Friday for his welterweight matchup against Tyron Woodley and went from a -115 favorite at the SuperBook to +160 in a little more than 24 hours. Woodley jumped from -105 to -180 in Vegas and was -170 at Several Bookmakers as of Saturday morning. Following is a complete breakdown of the betting moves offshore and in Vegas for every bout on the UFC 183 card…

BET # FIGHTER 5DIMES OPENER 5DIMES LATEST MOVE VEGAS OPENER VEGAS LATEST MOVE
24401 DIAZ 285 435 350 475
24402 SILVA -405 -570 165 -420 -650 230
24405 WOODLEY 110 -170 120 -180
24406 GASTELUM -150 150 -100 -140 160 -100
24409 LAUZON -105 175 155 200
24410 IAQUINTA -135 -210 75 -175 -240 65
24413 BOETSCH 190 365 350 400
24414 LEITES -270 -460 190 -420 -500 80
24417 ALVES 105 125 -105 130
24418 MEIN -145 -145 0 -115 -150 35
24421 TATE 135 160 180 170
24422 MCMANN -175 -185 10 -210 -190 -20
24425 HERMAN 325 480 425 550
24426 BRUNSON -475 -660 185 -550 -800 250
24429 LINEKER 145 205 190 220
24430 MCCALL -185 -245 60 -220 -260 40
24433 WATSON 115 110 155 110
24434 NATAL -155 -130 -25 -175 -130 -45
24437 HETTES 125 135 150 135
24438 BRANDAO -165 -155 -10 -170 -155 -15
24441 MOREIRA 160 150 155 150
24442 ALCANTARA -210 -170 -40 -175 -170 -5
24445 ENZ -125 155 150 135
24446 SANTOS -115 -175 60 -170 -155 -25

Click here for a sortable UFC 183 Betting Moves chart.

Written by Matty

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