Gabe Killian’s Live Dogs for Bellator 129

Houston AlexanderBellator 129 Date: October 17, 2014 Arena: Mid-America Center City: Council Bluffs, Iowa Bellator 129 will be live from Iowa tonight with 11 scheduled bouts, including a four-fight main card that will be live on Spike TV at 9pm ET, with the preliminary card preceding it at 7pm ET at If interested in wagering on these plays, or any other plays for this fight card, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. My live dogs for Bellator 129 are: Welterweight bout: Josh Neer (-145) vs Paul Bradley (+125) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think Bradley’s wrestling is going to prove to be the difference in this match-up. I don’t think Neer will be able to continuously stop his takedown attempts, so unless he is able to secure a guillotine choke during one of Bradley’s attempts, I feel he is going to lose a decision here. I see “The Gentleman” taking Neer down, avoiding his submission attempts and grinding out a unanimous decision on the judges’ scorecards. At the current underdog price of +125, I see good value in Bradley, as I personally feel he should be the favorite heading into this 170-pound scrap. Gabe’s Call: Bradley by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Paul Bradley (+125) 4u to win 5u Light Heavyweight bout: Houston Alexander (+105) vs Virgin Zwicker (-125) Gabe’s Thoughts: I see a bit of value in the veteran Alexander in this particular match-up, as I feel he should be a slight favorite heading into it, especially considering the facts that he has the advantage in experience and that his opponent Zwicker is taking this fight on short notice. I think as long as his chin holds up, he will win this fight. I can only see Zwicker winning this fight inside the distance, whereas I could see Alexander winning by finish or decision. At underdog odds, I feel Alexander is the right side for a play here, and that’s saying something, considering I generally look to fade him at the sportsbooks. Gabe’s Call: Alexander by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Houston Alexander (+105) 2u to win 2.1u

Written by Gabe Killian

Leave a Reply

MMA Odds and Ends for Friday: Eight New UFC Fights Announced

Bellator 129 Fight Breakdown: Andre Santos vs. James Terry