Gabe Killian’s Three-Way Parlay for UFC Fight Night 47

Tim BoetschUFC Fight Night 47 Date: August 16, 2014 Arena: Cross Insurance Center City: Bangor, Maine UFC Fight Night 47 will be live from Bangor, Maine for the first time in UFC history this Saturday night at 10pm ET on FOX Sports 1 with a six-fight main card to be headlined by a five round welterweight contest between Ovince St. Preux and Ryan Bader. The winner will likely take on Anthony “Rumble” Johnson in his next outing. Preceding the main card will be a four-fight preliminary card starting at 8pm ET on FOX Sports 2. If interested in making this parlay, or wagering on any fights or props for this fight card, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. Here is my three–way parlay for UFC Fight Night 47… Middleweight bout: Brad Tavares (-270) vs Tim Boetsch (+230) Gabe’s Thoughts: I favor Tavares to get his hand raised in this one, but I feel he is being over-valued at -260, as I feel Boetsch could potentially grind out two out of three rounds here in this fight. I think Tavares should be -180, so I will be avoiding him for a play. I think the safest play here is the over, as I don’t think either fighter will score a finish. There could of course be an injury, as was the case in Boetsch’s fight against Costa Philippou, in which case I got lucky because I had Phillipou by T/KO. I think there is a great chance this fight will go over 2.5 rounds, and at -285, I definitely think there is value, so I will be including it as a leg in this parlay. Gabe’s Call: Tavares by Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) Women’s Bantamweight bout: Lauren Murphy (+310) vs Sara McMann (-370) Gabe’s Thoughts: Murphy is giving up her Invicta FC bantamweight title to make her promotional debut inside the Octagon and she has a very tough task ahead of her in Olympic gold medalist wrestler Sara McMann. McMann is coming off a controversial first round TKO defeat against Ronda Rousey, which she claims to be a fluke. I think both of these bantamweights are very tough and generally hard to finish when fighting anybody not named Ronda Rousey. I favor McMann to get her hand raised via decision, though I do think Murphy is a live dog. My move for a leg in this parlay is the over 2.5 rounds at -270, which I see value in, as I see this one going the distance much more often than not. Gabe’s Call: McMann by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Middleweight bout: Sam Alvey (-110) vs Tom Watson (-130) Gabe’s Thoughts: Both of these middleweights are tough and even tougher to put away, so this is another fight I expect going over 2.5 rounds. Watson is a slight favorite here on the betting lines, but I slightly favor Alvey to get his hand raised. It will most likely prove to be a closely contested bout, but after it’s all said and done, I think the judges will be involved in making the call. I think there is currently value in the over 2.5 rounds total at -215, so I will be including it at my third leg in this three-team parlay for UFC Fight Night 47. Gabe’s Call: Alvey by Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Tavares/Boetsch Over 2.5 rounds (-285) parlayed with Murphy/McMann over 2.5 rounds (-270) and Alvey/Watson over 2.5 rounds (-215) for +171 1.9u to win 3.25.u

Written by Gabe Killian

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