UFC on ESPN+ 10 Prop Betting Selection

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Kevin Lee vs Rafael Dos Anjos

A welterweight fight headlines this weekend’s card in Rochester, NY. Lee should be stronger and healthier at 170 than compared to 155. The same can be said for the former lightweight champion Rafael Dos Anjos as well. This is a bit of a tricky fight to call and really falls upon who implements their game plan first and continues to rinse and repeat that game plan for the remainder of the fight.

Lee is really good in top position and is very strong with his grappling and wrestling abilities. Which is what has put Dos Anjos on the heels of a two-fight losing streak against Usman and Covington who are both pressure heavy fighters and wrestlers. Lee’s best path to victory is to pressure RDA immediately and not let up. Constant pressure and takedowns may lead to him securing a win. I wouldn’t trust him on the feet against RDA, who has better hands and overall just a much more solid stand up fighter. I am a little worried of Lee possibly starting to gas out as the fight and rounds go on. If he is able to pace himself and really beat up RDA on top and against the fence then you know RDA is being broken down himself.

If RDA wants to win this fight, he’ll need to keep Lee off him and push the fight himself. The more he does that then the more Lee will slow down. I’m going to have to side with Lee here, I think he will bounce back from the Iaquinta loss and make a statement here with a big win over the former champion of the lightweight division – a division Lee competes in himself. RDA doesn’t really have much going for him, he’s 34 years old and coming off two significant losses. I actually think Lee has a pretty good chance at finishing RDA here. Like mentioned above his top game and ground-and-pound is powerful. He has pretty good submissions as well on the ground. If he is able to really put enough damage and wear out RDA then a TKO or submission win is within his grasp.

Prop: Kevin Lee wins inside the distance (+235)

(Updated 5-17-19 – Prop Bets Added)

Aspen Ladd vs. Sijara Eubanks

Eubanks will be undersized here with a skillset that most likely cannot match Aspen Ladd’s. They both fought each other before a few years ago but Ladd has improved and put on size since then. I’m not expecting the outcome to change here outside the fact that Ladd will win again, but how she does it is worth a shot. Ladd is the younger and stronger fighter with a brighter upside here. She would have no problem getting Eubanks to the mat to win by TKO or submission. Ladd has finished tougher fighters than Eubanks such as Tonya Evinger and Lina Lansberg. A prop on Ladd to finish the fight is worth a gamble here.

Prop: Aspen Ladd wins by inside the distance (+225)

Ed Herman vs. Patrick Cummins

I can’t believe I’m even talking about this fight much less about to offer a prop for you readers but one of these props on this fight feels too good to pass up. While I don’t have much faith in either fighter at this point, Ed Herman in my eyes has more left in the tank or at least enough to get a win here. As for his opponent Patrick Cummins you just never know which version you’ll get of him. Sometimes his fights he comes in motivated and fights smart using his great wrestling. Other times he just comes out shook and gets his lights turned out effortlessly as he does tend to look for the easy way out at times. He has durability issues and cannot take a punch. Ed Herman isn’t exactly the scariest standup fighter in the UFC, but he does have some power behind his punches and if he is able to land something then he can certainly end Cummins’ night early. Whether he does that or not we’ll have to find out but the value on Herman by TKO is too good to pass up.

Prop: Ed Herman wins by TKO (+515)

Written by Chris White

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