Prop Plays for UFC 202

UFC-on-FOXUFC 202 Date: August 20, 2016 Arena: T-Mobile Arena City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in the fight capital of the world, Las Vegas, NV on August 20, 2016 with UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor II. Main card action will be kicking off on Pay Per View at 10pm ET, with preliminary bouts preceding it on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm ET and on UFC Fight Pass at 6:30pm ET. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my prop plays: Nate Diaz (+105) vs Conor McGregor (-125) Fight Goes to Decision (+350) 1u to win 3.5u Simply put, I believe the value is with the +350 betting line here, as I could easily see this rematch hitting the judges’ scorecards for a decision. Anthony Johnson (+190) vs Glover Teixeira (+160) Teixeira by T/KO (+844) .25u to win 2.11u Value play. I favor a submission and decision more, but this is the play that holds the most value. I think the Brazilian packs enough power to put Johnson away, should he properly connect. Rick Story (+145) vs Donald Cerrone (-165) Story by T/KO (+620) .5u to win 3.1u I think it is a coin-flip whether Story wins this fight on the judges’ scorecards or via T/KO, so I will take the value with the T/KO here. Tim Means (-440) vs Sabah Homasi (+350) Means by Decision (+330) 1u to win 3.3u I think Means is about as likely to win this fight on the judges’ scorecards as he is via T/KO, so I see value in the Decision prop at +330, especially considering he is -440 straight up. Neil Magny (-140) vs Lorenz Larkin (+120) Larkin by T/KO (+350) 1u to win 3.5u Larkin in Round One (+675) 1u to win 6.75u I like Larkin in this fight and I like his chances of stopping Magny. The TUF 16 veteran has a tendancy of getting hurt in the first round of his fights and surviving to score a come from behind victory, so if he gets into early trouble against Larkin, I think “The Monsoon” will succesfully capitalize and put him away.

Written by Gabe Killian

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