Prop Plays for UFC 200

FX_TUF_S3_FightersInfo_0010_Kelvin-Gastelum_display_imageUFC 200 Date: July 9, 2016 Arena: T-Mobile Arena City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will be in the new T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday July 9th, 2016 with UFC 200, the most stacked card in the promotion’s history with 12 exciting bouts, including three title fights and the return of Brock Lesnar. The main card will be kicking off at 10pm ET on Pay Per View, with preliminary action preceding it on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm ET and UFC Fight Pass at 6:30pm ET. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my prop plays: Roy Nelson (-130) vs Derrick Lewis (+110) Lesnar by Submission (+675) .6u to win 4.05u Lesnar by Decision (+725) .4u to win 2.9u I see value in both of these lines. I think Lesnar by T/KO is a likely outcome but see no betting value in the T/KO prop at +250. I see Lesnar taking this fight to the mat and finishing it; contrary to the betting odds, I think a submission is slightly more likely than a T/KO, which is why I see a lot of value in the +675 betting line. Johny Hendricks (-120) vs Kelvin Gastelum (+100) Gastelum by T/KO (+725) .6u to win 4.35u Gastelum by Submission (+1385) .3u to win 4.15u Gastelum in Round One (+1100) .3u to win 3.3u Simply put, I see value in these betting lines. Gegard Mousasi (-265) vs Thiago Santos (+225) Mousasi by Submission (+500) 1u to win 5u Mousasi in Round One (+375) 1u to win 3.75u I see a decent amount of value in this line, as I personally think Mousasi by Submission is the most likely outcome to this middleweight contest. Despite Santos owning a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, I think Mousasi has the superior submission game, and is generally the superior mixed martial artist. I think there’s a good chance that he takes the fight to the mat and finishes it via submission.

Written by Gabe Killian

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