Two-Way Parlay for UFC 200

Gegard MousasiUFC 200 Date: July 9, 2016 Arena: T-Mobile Arena City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will be in the new T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday July 9th, 2016 with UFC 200, the most stacked card in the promotion’s history with 12 exciting bouts, including three title fights and the return of Brock Lesnar. The main card will be kicking off at 10pm ET on Pay Per View, with preliminary action preceding it on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm ET and UFC Fight Pass at 6:30pm ET. If interested in wagering on this parlay, or any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines are currently made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here is my parlay: Featherweight interim-title bout: Frankie Edgar (-115) vs Jose Aldo (-105) Gabe’s Thoughts: I actually scored the fight for Edgar the first time they fought, and this time, I think he will win more convincingly. I just see Edgar doing more this time around, and the fact that Aldo is coming off a knockout loss could benefit him (Edgar) because Aldo could be more cautious than usual, ultimately allowing Edgar to land more volume. Edgar has been getting better and better from fight to fight, while on the other end, it is arguable that Aldo may be on somewhat of a decline. July 9th will provide all answers, and going into the contest, I think Edgar should be a -170 to -190 betting favorite, so I like him at his current offering price of -115. Gabe’s Call: Edgar by Unanimous Decision (49-46, 48-47, 49-47) Middleweight bout: Gegard Mousasi (-275) vs Thiago Santos (+235) Gabe’s Thoughts: I believe Mousasi is the superior mixed martial artist heading into this middleweight contest and see him getting the better of Santos everywhere. I also believe that this is without a doubt the biggest test of Santos’ professional mixed martial arts career, and I do not see him passing it. I think Mousasi will outbox him on the feet and outwrestle him on the mat. Despite the fact that Santos owns a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, I think Mousasi is the more crafty submission artist and is likely to finish the fight, should it hit the mat, which I think it is likely to do. I see the Armenian using his boxing to set up a takedown and work his way towards a submission victory on the canvas. I think Mousasi should be a -550 betting favorite heading into this contest, so I see plenty of value in him at his somewhat juicy price-tag of -275. Gabe’s Call: Mousasi by Submission (rear naked choke, 3:39 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Edgar (-115) and Mousasi (-275) at +154 for 3.55u to win 5.5u

Written by Gabe Killian

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