Fights to Avoid Betting for UFC 199

UFC Fight Night 69 Weigh-in Results for ‘Jedrzejczyk vs Penne’ in BerlinUFC 199: Rockhold vs Bisping Date: June 4, 2016 Arena: The Forum City: Los Angeles, CA The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in Los Angeles, CA this Saturday night (June 4th, 2016) with UFC 199: Rockhold vs Bisping. The main card kicks off at 10pm ET on Pay Pew View, with preliminary action preceding it on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm and UFC Fight Pass at 6:15 ET. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. My Fights to AVOID betting are: Women’s Strawweight bout: Jessica Andrade (+125) vs Jessica Penne (-145) Gabe’s Thoughts: As for my official pick, I keep going back and forth, but at the moment, I slightly lean towards Andrade for her advantages in striking and physical strength. She is coming down from 135-pounds but had competed at 125-pounds prior to the UFC. This fight be her first time fighting at 115-pounds. Her opponent Penne competed at 105-pounds priot to signing with the UFC. Size-wise, Andrade is the much shorter fighter, but she has the advantage. I expect her strength advantage will play a difference inside the clinch. At the current betting odds, I really don’t think there is any value on either fighter for a wager. For me, this will have to be a fight I avoid at the sportsbooks come Saturday night here in my own hometown of Los Angeles. On that same note, it is worth mentioning that Penne will have the hometown advantage heading into this contest, as she is from Orange County, California. Gabe’s Call: Andrade by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID Welterweight bout: Sean Strickland (+125) vs Tom Breese (-145) Gabe’s Thoughts: When this fight was first announced, I initially suspected that i would be making a wager on Breese, especially if I could get him at -200 or better. However, after doing my homework on the fight, I no longer feel that way. I now see this fight as a real coin-flip and at these odds even considered taking a small stab on Strickland. He will have a reach advantage, as well as the hometown edge over the Brit. But ultimately, I can’t get myself to pull the trigger. I think any bet here will be a true gamble and unless Strickland gets to +170, I would advise staying away from this fight. I see this as a fight to avoid at the sportsbooks this weekend. Gabe’s Call: Strickland by Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID

Written by Gabe Killian

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