UFC Fight Night 86 Full Card Betting Odds

UFC-Fight-Night-86-posterSunday, April 10th will mark the first time the UFC has set up the Octagon in Croatia. UFC Fight Night 86 will air from Mirko CroCop’s stomping grounds with a card that relies heavily on the legend’s division. Four of the six main card bouts will take place in the heavyweight division, headlined by the battle between former champion Junior dos Santos, and rising supervillain/contender Ben Rothwell. The second bout on the card features former heavyweight title challenger Gabriel Gonzaga against the heavy hands of Derrick Lewis. Hopefully Lewis’ style will keep Gonzaga from putting on another bout like he had against Konstantin Erokhin. The remaining heavyweight bouts don’t scream main card quality, but should be fun regardless. Francis Ngannou welcomes Curtis Blaydes to the UFC, while Timothy Johnson does the same for Marcin Tybura. The other theme on the card is new talent, as eight fighters will be making their UFC debuts. Seven of those eight fighters hail from countries in Europe. Perhaps in an effort to unearth as much talent as possible, the UFC could stumble across someone with some real potential. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas opened the betting lines for the entire card for UFC Fight Night 86 today at Several Bookmakers. Check them out below: ——————– UFC Fight Night 86: Rothwell vs. Dos Santos April 10, 2016 | Zagreb Arena | Zagreb, Croatia MAIN CARD (Fox Sports 1, 2pm ET) Ben Rothwell +110 Junior Dos Santos -150 Over 1.5 -140 Under 1.5 +100 — Gabriel Gonzaga +125 Derrick Lewis -165 Over 1.5 +130 Under 1.5 -170 — Francis Ngannou +100 Curtis Blaydes -140 Over 1.5 -125 Under 1.5 -115 — Timothy Johnson +150 Marcin Tybura -190 Over 1.5 -165 Under 1.5 +125 — Igor Pokrajac +265 Jan Blachowicz -385 Over 1.5 -120 Under 1.5 -120 — Cristina Stanciu +180 Maryna Moroz -260 Over 1.5 -165 Under 1.5 +125 — PRELIMINARY CARD (FOX Sports 1, Noon ET) Zak Cummings +135 Nicolas Dalby -175 Over 2.5 -215 Under 2.5 +165 — Damir Hadzovic +200 Mairbek Taisumov -280 Over 2.5 -180 Under 2.5 +140 — Alejandro Perez -120 Ian Entwistle -120 Over 1.5 +145 Under 1.5 -185 — Filip Pejic +100 Damian Stasiak -140 Over 2.5 -180 Under 2.5 +140 — PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 10:30 a.m. ET) Robert Whiteford +110 Lucas Martins -150 Over 2.5 -130 Under 2.5 -110 — Cyril Asker +150 Jared Cannonier -190 Over 1.5 -135 Under 1.5 -105 — Alessio Di Chirico +130 Bojan Velickovic -170 Over 2.5 -215 Under 2.5 +165 — ——————– Brad’s Analysis: For as hard as Derrick Lewis hits on the ground, it’s kind of amazing that he doesn’t have many knockouts on the feet. Don’t get me wrong, he doesn’t have great technique on the feet by any means, but it’s not all that much improved on the ground either. I guess gravity helps when you’re 265lbs. The bigger concern for him here should be that lack of technique though. Gabriel Gonzaga is more than capable of stepping out of range and landing a counter that can knock an opponent silly. I can see that happening here, or Gonzaga even jumping on a guillotine should Lewis try to force a takedown. I feel like this is the ceiling for Lewis, where he still relies on his physicality to win, while opponents have multiple ways to beat him. Curtis Blaydes seems to have a better gas tank than most heavyweights, but often that can be thrown out the window in a UFC debut. If that’s the case, I’m not sure what other advantages he would have over Francis Ngannou. I’ll pick Ngannou, but I wouldn’t be shocked if Blaydes is able to score a win here, and I certainly won’t be betting anything other than an over here. Jared Rosholt almost submitted Timmy Johnson (and I almost went hoarse cheering him on), so I can only imagine what Marcin Tybura might do if this fight hits the ground. If it doesn’t, Johnson has a much better chance on the feet, but I’m still not convinced he wins if it stays there. He hits harder than Tybura, but the Polish fighter is a more diverse striker. I like the debuting fighter to get the win, and I’ll be keeping an eye on the sub prop too. Igor Pokrajac is back in the UFC, which I guess means Goran Reljic had his phone turned off when Joe Silva tried to call him. I can’t see the Croatian’s second stint in the UFC going much differently than the first. Jan Blachowicz can finish Pokrajac on the feet or on the ground, and it’s hard to see him getting outwrestled in this one, so it should be a fairly safe parlay add as long as the price remains reasonable. I really haven’t had a chance to look at Cristina Stanciu on tape, but I do know that Maryna Moroz became one of the most overrated fighters in the UFC following her win over Joanne Calderwood. I think that ship came back to earth a bit with the Valerie LeTourneau loss, and it could get Moroz backers a decent number in this fight. This seems like the spot we see so often in women’s MMA where the prospect makes a big jump in competition that they simply aren’t ready for from a skill perspective. I certainly won’t bet this unless the line gets out-of-hand moving in Moroz’ favor.

Written by Brad Taschuk

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