Main Card Parlay for UFC Fight Night 75

Gegard MousasiUFC Fight Night 75 Date: September 26, 2015 Arena: Saitama Super Arena City: Saitama, Japan The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in Saitama, Japan for UFC Fight Night 75: Nelson vs Barnett. The 10-fight card will get underway with the FOX Sports 2 prelims at 8pm ET and with the main card getting going at 10pm ET on FOX Sports 1. If interested in wagering on this parlay, or any bouts on this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at 5Dimes Sportsbooks. Here is my main card parlay for UFC Fight Night 75: Heavyweight bout: Josh Barnett (-260) vs Roy Nelson (+220) Gabe’s Thoughts: Simply put, as long as Barnett avoids Nelson’s power-punch for 25-minute, I expect him to cruise to a comfortable unanimous decision victory in this five round main event heavyweight contest. I think he will find success by keeping Roy pressed against the cage, and as well as on the mat with his ground and pound. That’s where I see the majority of this bout taking place; against the cage and on the mat. I think he could outstrike Nelson, but I think he plays it smart and takes the safer route to victory in this match-up. Gabe’s Call: Barnett by Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45) Middleweight bout: Gegard Mousasi (-450) vs Urijah Hall (+360) Gabe’s Thoughts: Mousasi is without a doubt the superior mixed martial artist heading into this 185-pound match-up. I think he gets the better of Hall everywhere for three rounds of action en route to a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. I think it’s equally likely that he scores a submission, and a decent chance that he even scores a T/KO over Hall. Like with “Big Country” in the main event, Hall’s only chance at winning this fight is that of a punchers. If he does not find the one-shot, highlight reel knockout blow against the tough-to-finish Mousasi, he is going to be in for a long night. I expect this to be an easy win for the Armenian and think he should favored in the -650 to -700 range heading into this contest, so I see value in him at his current offering price of -450. Gabe’s Call: Mousasi by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Barnett (-260) and Mousasi (-450) at -145 for 3.55u to win 2.45u

Written by Gabe Killian

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