Fights to Avoid Betting for UFC Fight Night 72

ivan-jorgeUFC Fight Night 72 Date: July 18, 2015 Arena: The SSE Hydro City: Glasgow, Scotland, UK The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is set to make it’s inaugral trip to Scotland today (July 18, 2015) with UFC Fight Night 72 in Glasgow. The 12-fight card will be headlined by a middleweight contest between Brazilian veteran Thales Leites and the United Kingdom’s own Michael “The Count” Bisping. Main card action gets underway at 1pm ET on FOX Sports 1, with preliminary action preceding it on the same channel at 11am and a pair of bouts before it on UFC Fight Pass at 10am ET. If interested on making this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. My Fights to AVOID betting for UFC Fight Night 72 are: Lightweight bout: Ivan Jorge (+550) vs Joe Duffy (-800) Gabe’s Thoughts: In short, I think Duffy dominates this fight and ultimately stops Jorge. The Over/Under total is set at 1.5 rounds, which makes me unsure for a bet, even though I favor Duffy to get the job done inside the distance. I could see Jorge making it past 1.5 rounds, so I can’t pull the trigger on that. If the total was set at 2.5 rounds, I would be all over that Under. While I expect this fight to be a walk in the park for Duffy, I don’t think he is worth betting at -800, especially on a card like this that offers plenty of good match-ups to wager on. I expect Duffy to live up to his -800 betting line, but this will be a fight I avoid at the sportsbook come tomorrow. Gabe’s Call: Duffy by T/KO (punches, 4:31 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID Lightweight bout: Mickael Lebout (+115) vs Teemu Packalen (-135) Gabe’s Thoughts: I lean with Lebout to pick up the win in this match-up, partially due to the fact that he has Octagon experience against a veteran, while Packalen is making his promotional debut. I think there is some value in Lebout at his current underdog price of +115, however not quite enough for me to pull the trigger for a wager. However, I can’t blame anybody for betting him at dog odds here. More than anything, I think this is a fight that will answer questions about both 155-pound prospects, so it’s best to avoid betting and just enjoy. Gabe’s Call: Lebout by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID

Written by Gabe Killian

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