Live Dogs for Bellator 133

melvin_manhoefBellator 133 Date: February 13, 2015 Arena: Save Mart Center City: Fresno, CA Bellator 132 will be live on Spike TV tomorrow night (Friday) at 9pm ET with a four-fight main card, with an eight-fight preliminary card to precede it on at 6:45pm ET. If interested in wagering on this card, these and all other lines for this card and other fight cards this weekend will be made available to you at Several Bookmakerss. My live dogs for Bellator 133 are: Middleweight bout: Alexander Shlemenko (-280) vs Melvin Manhoef (+220) Gabe’s Thoughts: This is a fight that I could see playing out so many ways, and think is a lot closer than the current betting odds would suggest. I am a big fan of both of these fighters and don’t like being put in situations to bet against either of them, but I don’t think I can pass up Manhoef at +220 in this match-up. I wish the odds were tighter so I could avoid making a play and just sit back and enjoy this one, but if I pass Manhoef up at +220 in a fight I think he has a good chance of winning, it might be days before I stop kicking myself. Manhoef is undoubtedly the more vicious striker between the two in this main event bout and I think there is a good chance he is going to put Shlemenko away. Out of the gate, I expect he will be too fast for the Russian, and ultimately to powerful, resulting in another T/KO victory getting added to the very long list of T/KO victories on the veteran’s professional mixed martial arts resume. Gabe’s Call: Manhoef by T/KO (knee to the body and punches, 0:25 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Plays: Melvin Manhoef (+220) 1.5u to win 3.3u Featherweight bout: Daniel Weichel (+185) vs Pat Curran (-245) Gabe’s Thoughts: Contrary to popular opinion, this is another fight where I don’t agree with the odds. I’m in the minority here, but I think Weichel wins this fight more often than not and think he should be a slight favorite heading into the co-main event contest. Needless to say, I think there is good value in him at the current betting odds of +185 and he is definitely worthy of a wager. I would not be surprised at all if Curran wins this fight, after all he is the favorite, but I would be surprised to see him win in a fashion that justifies him being a -245 betting favorite Weichel. If he does indeed get his hand raised, I think it will be after a tough and grueling, back-and-forth fight. The German has been improving from fight to fight and I cannot say the same for Curran. I think Weichel is gonna raise a lot of eyebrows tonight, and if he does end up losing, as most expect, I think it will be a very competitive decision. This is a fight that could truly come down to a coin-flip when it hits the judges’ scorecards, if it gets there. I would not be surprised to see Weichel convincingly win all three rounds, especially of Curran does not show up on top of his game. That said, this is a scrap I believe will be very competitive much more often than not, if not every time. I am not confident Weichel will win, but I do think this is a fight he wins more often than not, so the fact that he is a +185 betting underdog can’t go avoided and I have to make a move. Gabe’s Call: Weichel by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Daniel Weichel (+185) 2u to win 3.7u

Written by Gabe Killian

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