Event: Bellator 84 Matchup: Dave Jansen (-165) vs. Marcin Held (+135) in Lightweight Tournament Finals Location: The Venue at Horseshoe Casino, Hammond, Indiana Time: 8 p.m. (ET) on Friday, December 14, 2012 How to Watch: Spike.com, MTV2 TALE OF THE TAPE: THE FAVORITE Name: Dave Jansen MMA Record: 18-2 Bellator Record: 5-0 Age: 33 Nationality: American Height: 5-9 Weight: 155 pounds Style: Wrestling Camp: Sports Lab Strengths: Experienced, good wrestling, WEC vet, never been knocked out or submitted, trains with solid camp Weaknesses: Little knockout power, has lost when fighting high-level competition Last 5 Fights: W – Ricardo Tirloni (SD), W – Magomed Saadulaev (SUB), W – Jacob Kirwan (UD), W – Ashkan Morvari (SUB), W – Scott McAfee (SUB) Notable Career Wins: Richard Crunkilton (UD) Notable Career Losses: Ricardo Lamas (UD), Kamal Shalorus (UD) Notable Career Achievements: None Keys to Victory: Mix it up, stay out of submissions TALE OF THE TAPE: THE UNDERDOG Name: Marcin Held MMA Record: 15-2 Bellator Record: 4-1 Age: 20 Nationality: Polish Height: 5-9 Weight: 155 pounds Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Camp: Bastion Tychy/London Shootfighters Strengths: Excellent submissions, youth, tough Weaknesses: Inexperience against high-level competition, little knockout power Last 5 Fights: W – Rich Clementi (SUB), W – Murad Machaev (UD), W – Derrick Kennington (SUB), W – Phillipe Nover (SD), W – Kaleo Kwan (SUB) Notable Career Wins: Clementi, Nover Notable Career Losses: Michael Chandler (SUB) Notable Career Achievements: None Keys to Victory: Go for submissions, try and get the fight to the ground FIGHT BREAKDOWN, PREDICTION, PICK & BET The Bellator lightweight tournament has come down to two men, Dave Jansen and Marcin Held. Jansen has looked impressive since coming over to Bellator, going a perfect 5-0 so far. He is a grinder who comes from a good camp and decent in the standup too. He also has high-level experience from his time in the WEC. Jansen’s a well-rounded fighter and has improved a lot in a short period of time, making him a sexy pick to win the tourney. Held has a lot of hype behind him because he’s a flashy submission fighter who goes for heel hooks and kneebars and more than often gets them. He’s coming off a huge win over veteran Rich Clementi and looks to continue his momentum with another win over Jansen to win the Bellator lightweight tourney and get the rematch with champion Michael Chandler that he craves so bad. But he’ll have to get this fight to the floor, and going up against a solid wrestler in Jansen, that’s no guarantee. Adam’s Fight Prediction: Dave Jansen will be able to keep the fight standing and do enough to outpoint Held. The only way Held can win is by getting the fight to the floor but Jansen is going to be hard to take down, so Jansen is the pick here. Adam’s Pick: Dave Jansen (-165) via decision (click for latest MMA odds). Adam’s Recommended Play: I like Dave Jansen for the pick and maybe even for a small bet here because I think he just has more ways to win the fight.