Gabe Killian’s Fight Pass Parlay for UFC 182

00AkhmedovUFC 182 Date: January 3, 2015 Arena: MGM Grand Garden Arena City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to Pay Per View this Saturday night (Jan. 3, 2015) with UFC 182, and the main card will be live at 10pm ET, with preliminary action preceding it at 8pm ET on FOX Sports 1 and before that, at 7pm ET on UFC Fight Pass. If interested in making this parlay, or any other wagers for this UFC fight card, you will be able to do so at 5Dimes Sportsbooks. Here’s my Fight Pass parlay for UFC 182: Welterweight bout: Mats Nilsson (+140) vs Omari Akhmedov (-160) Gabe’s Thoughts: Nilsson will be dropping down to the welterweight division following a first round knockout loss to Luke Barnatt in his Octagon debut at 185 pounds. Akhmedov recently dropped down to welterweight, as well, suffering a first round submission against Gunnar Nelson. Both 170 pounders will be using this match-up as an opportunity to bounce back into the win column and make a run in the division. I like Akhmedov to get his hand raised in this scrap, and I could see it coming by either stoppage or decision, should Nilsson’s chin hold up. You can hedge with a stab on Nilsson by Submission at +475, as that is in my opinion the Swede’s main route to victory, but I am personally not taking that prop. I think Akhmedov’s submission defense will hold up against Nilsson more often than not. The Swede’s submission game is nowhere near the level of Gunnar Nelson’s, so I am not expecting a similar outcome to this bout. Gabe’s Call: Akhmedov by T/KO (punches, 1:59 round 1) Women’s Bantamweight bout: Alexis Dufresne (-170) vs Marion Reneau (+150) Gabe’s Thoughts: Dufresne made her promotional debut against Sarah Moras and lost the bout via controversial split decision. She believes she was robbed of a victory and will be looking to make a statement in her second Octagon outing on Saturday night. Reneau is making her promotional debut and will be taking a big step up in competition when she faces Dufresne. At 37 years of age, she is the oldest women’s bantamweight in the UFC, and heading into this scrap, she will be enjoying an advantage in power and is the more likely fighter of the two to earn a T/KO stoppage. However, Dufresne will be enjoying an advantage in the grappling department, and I believe that will make the difference in this ladies 135 pound scrap, as I see her taking Reneau down and grinding her out for a unanimous decision victory or possibly a submission, most likely rear naked choke. Gabe’s Call: Dufresne by Submission (rear naked choke, 4:30 round 2) Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Omari Akhmedov (-160) parlayed with Alexis Dufresne (-170) for +158 2.85u to win 4.5u

Written by Gabe Killian

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