Gabe Killian’s Bellator 130 Main Card Parlay

bellator-85Bellator 130 Date: October 24, 2014 Arena: Kansas Star Casino City: Mulvane, KS Bellator 130 will be live from Kansas this Friday night with a 12-fight card, including a four-fight main card that will be live on Spike TV at 9pm ET. If interested in making this parlay, or any other wagers for this UFC fight card, you will be able to do so at Several Bookmakerss. Here’s my two-way parlay for the Bellator 130 main card: Lightweight bout: Dave Jansen (+175) vs Rick Hawn (-210) Gabe’s Thoughts: Simply put, I believe this fight will play out on the feet, where Hawn will use his superior boxing to continuously tag Jansen en route to a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. I don’t think Jansen will be able to take Hawn down, as Hawn has great takedown defense, largely in part due to his background in Judo. Both of these 155-pounders are tough to put away, so I think this fight goes the distance, and I just have trouble seeing Jansen doing enough to convincingly earn a decision here. Both of these guys are up there in age, with Jansen being 35 and Hawn being 38, but are still nowhere near the end of their roads in mixed martial arts. I believe these lightweights are both talented but I feel Hawn is the superior fighter of the two and think this is his fight to lose. I personally think he should be a -350 favorite, so at the current betting line of -210, I see plenty of value in him to include him as the first leg to my-two teamer for the Bellator 130 main card. Gabe’s Call: Hawn by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 30-27) Light Heavyweight title bout: Emanuel Newton (-325) vs Linton Vassell (+265) Gabe’s Thoughts: This is Vassell’s first five-round fight and I think it is going to prove to be too much for him, as I expect fatigue to start setting in for him late in the fight and for the superior-conditioned Newton to turn things up and earn a TKO stoppage, most likely in the fifth and final frame. Vassell is talented and has a future in the sport but I think this a big step up for him. He should have had another fight or two before having a chance at beating Newton. Sure, he is a heavy hitter and could land the knockout strike, but Newton is incredibly quick and has tremendous striking defense, so that is not an easy task for anybody, especially a fighter inexperienced under the big lights. I fully expect Newton to successfully defend his title. I think Newton should be a -400 favorite here, so at the current betting line of -325, I believe there is enough value in him to include him as the second leg to this two-way parlay. Gabe’s Call: Newton by T/KO (strikes, 1:40 round 5) Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Hawn (-210) parlayed with Newton (-325) for -108 2.15u to win 2u

Written by Gabe Killian

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