Gabe Killian’s Prop Plays for WSOF 14

Ryan-FordWSOF 14 Date: October 10, 2014 Arena: Edmonton Expo Centre City: Edmonton, Alberta, Canada WSOF will be live from Canada tonight with a nine fight card, including a four fight main card that will be live on the NBC Sports Network at 9pm ET. If interested in wagering on these proposition plays, or any other plays for this fight card, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. My prop plays WSOF 14 are: Welterweight bout: Jake Shields (-525) vs Ryan Ford (+450) Shields by Submission (+165) 1u to win 1.65u Shields -5.5 (-225) 2.25u to win 1u Fight Won’t Start Round 2 (+251) 1u to win 2.51u I won’t be surprised of Ford connects and puts Shields away, but I am not counting on it. I am expecting Shields to use his superior grappling to take this fight to the mat, where I don’t believe he will have much trouble in submitting the Canadian. I expect Shields to come out looking to make a statement in this bout, and I believe he will do so by finishing Ford, likely within the first stanza. Should the fight hit the judges’ scorecards, I think he will have done enough to convincingly win every round. That said, I do expect a finish, and I think he will deliver. Heavyweight bout: Derrick Mehmen (-150) vs Smealinho Rama (+140) Mehmen -3.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u Mehmen by Decision (+345) .6u to win 2.07u I think Mehmen is going to get the better of Rama over the course of three rounds to pick up a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. Heavyweight fights don’t often go the full 15 minutes, but I think this one has a good chance of doing so, and with what I believe is an advantage in cardio, I think will benefit Mehman in getting his hand raised. The first round could be close, but I think he will be able to win all three. I think there is a decent chance Mehmen scores a late stoppage, but Rama is tough so I think he will be able to survive for three rounds more often than not.   Middleweight bout: Jared Hamman (-155) vs Luke Harris (+145) Fight Goes to Decision (+450) 1 to win 4.5u This is simply a value play, as I think the line is off. While both fighters are finishers, I don’t think either fighter is necessarily easy to put away. Sure, I favor this bout to end inside the distance, but with the decision prop being at the current huge underdog price of +450, I think it is worth a play, as I believe this 185-pound scrap will hit the judges’ scorecards more often than those odds suggest.

Written by Gabe Killian

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WSOF 14 Play: Jake Shields (-525) vs Ryan Ford (+450)

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