Gabe Killian’s Live Dogs for UFC Fight Night 50

Gegard MousasiUFC Fight Night 50 Date: September 5, 2014 Arena: Foxwoods Resort Casino City: Ledyard, CT UFC Fight Night 50 will be live this Friday night from the Foxwoods Resort Casino in Ledyard, CT. The event will produce a 10-fight card, including a six-fight main card that will be live on FOX Sports 1 at 9pm ET, with a preliminary card preceding it at 7pm ET on the very same channel. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any other plays for this fight card, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. My live dogs for UFC Fight Night 50 in Connecticut are: Middleweight bout: Gegard Mousasi (+250) vs Ronaldo Souza (-300) Gabe’s Thoughts: At the current betting line of +250, I feel there is a world of value in Mousasi. In fact, I believe he should be a small favorite heading into this five-round main event bout. He has displayed improved striking defense, and when taken down is great at working his way back to his feet. It is also worth pointing out that he is no slouch off his back; he does a tremendous amount of damage from the position and in fact knocked “Jacare” out while off his back in their initial meeting six years ago. Souza’s striking has improved, but Mousasi will undoubtedly be the superior striker in this match-up. Both middleweights are phenomenal in the submission game, so I think they will cancel each other there. If Souza wins, it will be because he was able to lay on top of Mousasi for the majority of 25 minutes, but I don’t see that happening. I think Mousasi has more routes to victory, especially considering that he has the better chin of the two. At +250, I do love “The Armenian Assassin” for a big play. Gabe’s Call: Mousasi by Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Gegard Mousasi (+250) 5u to win 12.5u Featherweight bout: Chas Skelly (-225) vs Sean Soriano (+185) Gabe’s Thoughts: Skelly is making an immediate turnaround after just submitting Tom Niinimaki via first round rear naked choke as the opening bout of the main card for UFC Fight Night 49 just under two weeks ago in Oklahoma. It was an impressive outing for Skelly and a solid way to pick up his first victory inside the Octagon. Soriano will be looking to pick up his first, after failing to do so in his promotional debut against Tatsuya Kawajiri back in January. After Soriano’s original opponent Team Alpha Male product Andre Fili dropped out of their bout due to injury, Skelly agreed to step in on short notice to take on the Blackzilian. Training under the tutelage of Blackzilian head striking coach Henri Hooft, Soriano is solid on the feet. His takedown defense is also excellent, so he does a good job of keeping his fights on the feet, where he generally holds an advantage, and will enjoy one in the department heading into this bout. He may be at a disadvantage when it comes to cardio, but I think he will be able to fend off Skelly’s takedowns attempts for the majority of the bout, enough to take two of three rounds on the judges’ scorecards. I think Soriano should be a slight favorite in this bout, so I love him for a play at the current underdog price of +185. Gabe’s Call: Soriano by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Sean Soriano (+185) 3u to win 5.55u

Written by Gabe Killian

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