Gabe Killian’s Prop Plays for UFC Fight Night 49

bensonUFC Fight Night 49 Date: August 23, 2014 Arena: BOK Center City: Tulsa, Oklahoma UFC Fight Night 49 will be live from Tulsa, Oklahoma this Saturday night for the first time in a decade. The six-fight main card will be live on FOX Sports 1 at 10pm, with a preliminary card to precede it at 8pm ET on FOX Sports 2. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any other plays for this fight card, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. My prop plays UFC Fight Night 49 are: Lightweight bout: Benson Henderson (-400) vs Rafael dos Anjos (+355) Henderson Inside the Distance (+253) 1u to win 2.53u Fight Doesn’t Go to Decision (+155) 1u to win 1.55u Henderson -5.5 (-115) 5.75u to win 5u I think there is a good chance that Henderson finishes dos Anjos in this bout, which will give him finishes in back-to-back fights. I feel like 25 minutes is enough time for him to earn a T/KO stoppage over the Brazilian. I would not be surprised to see him score a submission, but I am expecting a T/KO victory this time out. RDA is a tough out and Henderson has been criticized for not being a finisher, but I think he gets it done tonight. While dos Anjos is a very talented fighter in the UFC’s lightweight division, I believe Henderson is lightyears better than him and he has nothing to offer the former champion. I expect this to be an easy victory for Henderson on his road back to the gold. For the -5.5 prop I recommended, you will likely need to keep re-betting, as 5dimes sets limits on prop bets. Keep checking back and re-betting that one for a total of 5u, as it is my favorite play for Saturday night. Welterweight bout: Ben Saunders (-360) vs Chris Heatherly (+325) Fight Doesn’t Go to Decision (-185) 1.85u to win 1u This is a fight I have trouble seeing play out for all three rounds of action. I think there is a very good chance a finish come at either end. I was favoring the big underdog Heatherly to pull off the upset, and while I think he can still do it, I now favor Saunders to get the job done. The reason I changed my mind on the pick for that one is because of yesterday’s weigh-ins; Saunders had a much bigger size advantage over Heatherly than I expected. Though, that could be tricky, because I’ve seen fighters who looked smaller than their opponents at the weigh-ins look to be the bigger fighter on fight day. Bottom line, I think there is a very good chance this fight ends in under 1.5 rounds, and an even greater chance it doesn’t see the judges’ scorecards. I feel there is great value in this prop at -185 and have to recommend it for a play.

Written by Gabe Killian

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MMAOddsBreaker Staff Picks – UFC Fight Night 49

UFC Fight Night 49 Fight Breakdown: Max Holloway (-440) vs Clay Collard (+350)