Gabe Killian’s Preliminary Card Parlay for UFC on FOX 12

Patrick-Cummins-Wins-PNGUFC on FOX 12 Date: July 26, 2014 Arena: SAP Center City: San Jose, CA UFC on FOX 12 will be live from San Jose, CA on Saturday at 8pm ET on FOX with a four-fight main card to be headlined by a five round welterweight contest between Robbie Lawler and Matt Brown, which will determine the number one contender for the division’s title. Preceding the main card will be a four-fight preliminary card starting at 6pm ET on FOX, with four fights kicking things off before it at 4:15pm ET on UFC Fight Pass. If interested in making this parlay, or wagering on any fights or props for this fight card, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. Here is my two–way preliminary card card parlay for UFC on FOX 12… Light Heavyweight bout: Kyle Kingsbury (+125) vs Patrick Cummins (-145) Gabe’s Thoughts: They both have solid wrestling skills, but I think Cummins is the better wrestler and his superior wrestling will be the difference in this fight, as I see him using takedowns and time spent in top control to seal rounds on the judges’ scorecards en route to a unanimous decision victory. Kingsbury’s coming off a very long layoff, so I expect ring rust to play a factor for him in this match-up, as well. Cummins has really dedicated himself to the sport of mixed martial arts ever since getting the call from the UFC; he came up short in a mismatch against current 205-pound title challenger Daniel Cormier, but bounced back strongly with a second round TKO win over promotional newcomer Roger Narvaez. He will now be looking to make it two in a row inside the Octagon, and I think Kingsbury is a good opponent for him to achieve that goal against. “Kingsbu” is tough, so I don’t expect Cummins to score his second consecutive stoppage in this fight. However, the American Kickboxing Academy does have the hometown advantage heading into this scrap, so for that reason I favor the over 2.5 rounds prop at -130 more than taking Cummins at -145, as I feel there’s a slight chance Cummins could deserve a win here and get robbed at the hands of the judge’s. Gabe’s Call: Cummins by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27) Featherweight bout: Brian Ortega (-160) vs Mike De La Torre (+140) Gabe’s Thoughts: Ortega defeated Erik Koch’s brother Keoni Koch to become the RFA featherweight champion and earn a call from Sean Shelby and the UFC. He is undefeated in his professional mixed martial arts career heading into his Octagon debut, and will be taking on a very game opponent in Mike De La Torre, who is arguably his toughest test to date. De La Torre impressed as a heavy underdog against veteran Mike Bocek on enemy territory in what was his promotional debut; he came out on the losing end of a split decision, but impressed many with his performance. I expect this to be a great fight, but I think Ortega is the superior mixed martial artist and I favor him to remain undefeated after this match-up. I think Ortega will defeat De La Torre more convincingly than Bocek did, but I don’t expect it to be a complete walk in the park. De La Torre is dangerous every second he is inside the cage. This scrap could be a real barn burner and it is one fight on this card I am very much looking forward to. Gabe’s Call: Ortega by Unanimous Decision (30-28, 30-27, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Kingsbury/Cummins Over 2.5 rounds (-130) parlayed with Ortega (-160) for +187 3.55u to win 6.65u

Written by Gabe Killian

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