Gabe Killian’s Three-Way Parlay for UFC Fight Night 41

1741539NiinimakiUFC Fight Night 41 Date: May 31, 2014 Arena: O2 World Berlin City: Berlin, Germany The first part of Saturday’s double-header will be UFC Fight Night 41, a 10-fight card that will entirely stream live on UFC Fight Pass. The preliminary card starts at 12:30 pm ET, with the main card kicking off at 3pm ET. If interested in making this parlay, or wagering on any fights or props for UFC Fight Night 41, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. Here is my three –way parlay for UFC Fight Night 41… Featherweight bout: Niklas Backstrom (+205) vs Tom Niinimaki (-245) Gabe’s Prediction: I am expecting Niinimaki to use his grappling to pick up his second win inside the Octagon, possibly setting his sights on a top 20 opponent. Gabe’s Call: Niinimaki by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 29-28) Lightweight bout: Drew Dober (-105) vs Nick Hein (-125) Gabe’s Prediction: Simply put, I think Hein is going to outpoint Dober on the feet en route to a unanimous decision victory. Both of these lightweights are tough to finish, so while I favor Hein to win the fight, I think the over 2.5 may be a safer play, considering the fact that judges’ can be very unpredictable. Gabe’s Call: Hein by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Middleweight bout: Krzysztof Jotko (-135) vs Magnus Cedenblad (+105) Gabe’s Prediction: I think the over/under for this fight should be set at 2.5 rounds and feel is a gift to be getting it at 1.5 rounds. I could see a finish happening on both ends, but I think the chances of it happening in under 1.5 rounds are slim. I think these two will fight to a decision more times than not, so I love the over 1.5 at -160 as a having real value and being a solid piece for this parlay. I am expecting this to be a close fight, with Jotko getting the better of Cedenblad. I think there will be a mix of striking and grappling in this bout, as well as battles for control in the clinch against the cage. I think Jotko is generally the superior fighter and favor him to get his hand raised. Though, the fight should be competitive and you can’t trust the judges, so I feel the over 1.5 is the safest play here. Gabe’s Call: Jotko by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Niinimaki (-245) parlayed with Dober/Hein Over 2.5 rounds (-165) and Jotko/Cedenblad Over 1.5 rounds (-160) for +267 2.15u to win 5.75u

Written by Gabe Killian

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