Gabe Killian’s Prop Plays for UFC 172

Glover TeixeiraUFC 172 Date: April 26, 2014 Arena: Baltimore Arena City: Baltimore, MD Your Best Prop Bets for UFC 172 UFC 172 will be live from Baltimore tonight on Pay Per View starting at 10pm ET with a preliminary card kicking off at 8pm ET on FOX Sports 1. There will also be a bantamweight contest streaming live on UFC Fight Pass at 7:30pm ET. UFC 172 comes to us with 10 scheduled bouts and all but guarantees an exciting night of fights. If interested in wagering on the props suggested in this article, or any other props or wagers, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. My prop plays for UFC 172 are: Glover Teixeira (+423) vs Jon “Bones’ Jones (-480) Teixeira Inside the Distance (+894) .5u to win 4.47u I think Teixeira is the champions toughest test to date and believe he has a good chance of finishing this fight, either by knockout or submission. For my breakdown of the fight, I refer you to my fight article for the main event bout. Luke Rockhold (-900) vs Tim “The Barbarian” Boetsch (+700) Rockhold Inside the Distance (-137) 1.37u to win 1u I don’t see Rockhold losing this fight. The question is whether he gets the finish or takes a unanimous 30-27 decision on the judges’ scorecards. I think Boetsch may be tough enough to handle the former Strikeforce middleweight champions output on the feet, but my money is against it. I think Rockhold will hurt him, and ultimately stop him. For a full write-up, check out my fight article for this fight. Joseph Benavidez (-400) vs Tim Elliott (+355) Benavidez by Decision (-111) 1.11u to win 1u I think this fight goes the distance much more often than not, with Benavidez being the one who gets his hand raised nearly every time. For a full breakdown of this fight, I refer you to my fight article. Isaac Vallie-Flagg (+145) vs Takanori “The Fireball Kid” Gomi (-155) Fight Goes to Decision (-195) 1.95u to win 1u Gomi by Decision (+159) 1u to win 1.59u No matter how you cook it, I think these two will manage to go all three rounds of action. I agree with Gomi being a favorite, but don’t agree with the line movement, as he opened as a bigger favorite than he currently is. I think “The Fireball Kid” will manage to keep this fight standing up for the majority of 15 minutes, oustrkining Vallie-Flagg en route to a decision victory, and ultimately getting back on the win column. Bethe “Pitbull” Correia (+105) vs Jessamyn “The Gun” Duke (-115) Duke by Submission (+739) .5u to win 3.69u I see a lot of value in this prop, because I think Duke’s submission game is a lot better than Correia’s. I feel like if the fight hits the mat, which it very likely may, Duke will have a good chance at securing a tap, regardless of whether she is on top or off her back. For a full write-up, I refer you to my fight article on this women’s bantamweight bout. Charlie “The Spaniard” Brenneman (+280) vs Danny “Last Call” Castillo (-310) Brenneman by Decision (+400) 1u to win 4u Brenneman has the superior wrestling and general grappling. I think he will be able to take Castillo down to the mat and out wrestle him for the majority of 15 minutes en route to a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. He is being over-looked and under-valued in this bout, and I think the betting line is all out of whack. I believe Brenneman should be the favorite. Castillo has been taken down by every wrestler he has ever faced, and Brenneman has better wrestling than those lightweights who found success with their wrestling against Castillo. As long as “The Spaniard” does not get caught with anything, I am expecting him to grind out a decision win here and cash in as a big underdog.

Written by Gabe Killian

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