Plays for UFC Fight Night 107

Brad PickettUFC Fight Night 107: Manuwa vs. Anderson Date: March 18, 2017 Arena: The O2 Arena City: London, England The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in London, England this Saturday (March 18, 2017) for the ninth time in promotional history with UFC Fight Night 107: Manuwa vs. Anderson. The 13-fight card will be streamed live in entirety on UFC Fight Pass, with preliminary action kicking off at 1:30 p.m. ET and main card action getting underway at 5 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines are available to you at Several Bookmakers. Here are my plays: Bantamweight bout: Brad Pickett (-140) vs. Marlon Vera (+120) Gabe’s Thoughts: I like Pickett at the current price here in his retirement bout. Vera is taking the fight on short notice, replacing an injured Henry Briones. I don’t expect the timing to play a big factor with Vera, as he has been in fight shape, ready for a short-notice opportunity such as this. While I don’t expect it to be a big factor, I think it will still benefit Pickett, as he has had a full camp for this bout. Back-to-back camps, actually, as he is coming off the Urijah Faber fight last December, where he lost a unanimous decision in a very entertaining scrap. Faber retired with a win over Pickett, and I think Pickett will retire with a win over Vera. Pickett is on a decline while Vera is on the way up, but I think this will be too much, too soon for Vera. Pickett will show up looking to go out on a high note, and with him on top of his game, I think this is his fight to lose. Perhaps he will live up to his moniker and earn a “One-Punch” knockout, but I think a victory on the scorecards here is more likely. Gabe’s Call: Pickett by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Pickett (-140) Welterweight bout: Tom Breese (-275) vs. Oluwale Bamgbose (+235) Gabe’s Thoughts: I agree with Breese being the betting favorite in this hometown bout for the Brit, however, I do not quite agree with his current asking price of -275. I don’t believe he carries any value at these odds, and while I’m tempted to take a gamble on Bamgbose at +235, I am ultimately going to have to pass on a play there. That said, I do think the Total of Under 1.5 rounds at -115 is worth a shot here, as I believe this is going to be a firefight where one man will likely go down. Breese and Bamgbose are both excellent strikers, but I favor Breese’s defense and chin more, which makes me think he wins this fight more often than not. Gabe’s Call: Breese by T/KO (strikes, 1:38 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Under 1.5 rounds (-115) All of my content and plays are free. Your support is greatly appreciated. Click Here to Make a Donation!

Written by Gabe Killian

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