Two-Way WSOF/UFC Parlay for this Weekend

Gaethje-PatishnockThe World Series of Fighting (WSOF) heads to Kansas City, MO tomorrow (Friday, October 7, 2016) for WSOF 33: Gaethje vs Dugulubgov. The 11-fight card kicks off at 8pm ET on, with the main card getting going at 11pm on NBC Sports Network. Then the following night (Saturday, October 8, 2016), the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) heads back to Mancheste, England for the fourth time in promotional history with UFC 204: Bisping vs Henderson II. The 12-fight card is set to kick off preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 6:30pm and will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm. Main card action will be live on Pay Per View at 10pm. If interested in wagering on this parlay, or any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines are currently made available at Several Bookmakers. Here is my parlay: WSOF 33 Lightweight title bout: Justin Gaethje (-300) vs Ozzy Dugulubgov (+250) Gabe’s Thoughts: I believe Gaethje is the superior mixed martial artist heading into this 155-pound title fight. He is the superior striker and I expect him to get the better of the Dagestani on the feet in this contest. I also believe his wrestling is good enough to defend any possible takedown attempts by Dugulubgov and keep the fight on the feet, where I think it will be his world once the World Series of Fighting cage door closes. Outside of landing something extremely lucky, I don’t see how the Dagestani wins this match-up. Not only do I think Gaethje is the better fighter, but he is also the bigger fighter of the two. I think the champ should be a 7-to-1 betting favorite heading into this title defense, so I think he holds a lot of value at the current 3-to-1 odds. Gabe’s Call: Gaethje by Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45) UFC Featherweight bout: Mirsad Bektic (-800) vs Russell Doane (+550) Gabe’s Thoughts: Doane is stepping in on very short notice for an injured Jeremy Jackson, who withdrew from the bout due to injury just hours after signing on the dotted line to compete in Manchester. Jackson was a short notice replacement himself, stepping in for the injured Brit Arnold Allen. Doane will be moving up from bantamweight to the featherweight division and could be released from the promotion, as he is currently on a three fight losing streak. Despite his setback, I am a fan of Doane’s and believe he will be game in this match-up. However, I don’t think that will be good enough, as I see Bektic being just too good for him everywhere. I see Bektic scoring takedowns and getting top position against the Hawaiian, where he will be too strong and too heavyv. A finish may not come, but I believe he will he enough to convincingly secure all three rounds for a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards following three rounds of action. I think Bektic should be a 10-to-1 betting favorite heading into this 145-pound contest, so I think he holds value, even at the current heavily juiced offering price of 8-to-1. Gabe’s Call: Bektic by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Gaethje (-300) and Bektic (-800) at -200 for 5u to win 2.5u

Written by Gabe Killian

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