Combate Americas recently held its 56th event in Fresno, California on Friday. Here are the betting results of the fights, as explained by MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas.
Adrian Guzman opened -170 and closed -155
Alejandro Martinez opened +140 and closed +135
Guzman got bet up early, but then action game in late on Martinez as the lines tightened up. Guzman barely survived the first round, but showed tremendous ability to recover to work himself back into the fight. It was a good fight, but Martinez was just too much for him, winning a decision and keeping the fight upright in his realm. The sportsbooks broke about even on this fight.
Danny Ramirez opened -260 and closed -255
Ivan Castillo opened +200 and closed +185
Action game in on Castillo, but it was mostly two-way action. It was a competitive fight, but Castillo ended up taking a decision. The sportsbooks again about broke even here.
Charisa Sigala opened +300 and closed +305
Stephanie Frausto opened -450 and closed -405
The public came in slightly on the dog, but was mostly two-way action. Frausto did exactly what many expected her to do. She was the better striker and landed some big shots to earn the TKO victory. The sportsbooks profited small here.
Paul Elizondo opened -235 and closed -170
Carlos Reyes opened +185 and closed +140
The public came in and bet the dog, driving his price down. Elizondo’s experience was too much as he ended up earning a submission about halfway through the first round. The sportsbooks made a decent profit here.
Maritza Sanchez opened +125 and closed -145
Lucero Acosta opened -165 and closed +125
The public flipped this line, betting Sanchez hard. Acosta was receiving hype, but Sanchez came out of the game strong and ripped her apart with superior striking in a one-sided fight. Acosta wasn’t ready for the overall skill-set a game and battle-tested Sanchez brought to the table. The books lost decent on this fight.
Hector Fajardo opened +135 and closed +150
Shane Torres opened -165 and closed -175
The public came in slightly on the favorite, but was mostly two-way action. Fajardo ended up taking a majority decision in a close, back-and-forth fight that could have realistically gone either way. Because of late action on Torres, the sportsbooks made a small profit.
Jose Avalos opened -275 and closed -200
Roger Severson opened +205 and closed +160
The public came in and bet Severson early, driving his line down. Avalos was the superior ground fighter and was able to take the fight into his realm, earning an early second round submission. The sportsbooks won small on this fight.
Anthony Parham Jr. opened +245 and closed +130
Brock Dias opened -335 and closed -160
I opened this fight way too high and from the opening bell, I knew. Dias was better in every aspect across the board on tape pre-fight, but Parham Jr. got him down enough to grind him out. It was a very competitive fight and I underestimated Parham Jr.’s strength and wrestling. The public came in huge on Parham Jr. and he earned a well-deserved decision with strong execution of a good game plan. The sportsbooks took a bad loss here, but not quite as bad as it seemed.
Austin Liu opened +145 and closed -105
Mike Tubera opened -175 and closed -115
The public came in heavy on Liu, pushing him to minus money. Liu usually gets beat by being put on his back, but Tubera surprised me by showcasing improved striking and taking advantage of Liu’s holes in his defense to earn an impressive and surprising decision victory. The sportsbooks made back a big chunk of their losses on this fight.
155 lbs.: Alejandro Martinez def. Adrian Guzman by split decision
115 lbs.: Stephanie Frausto def. Charisa Sigala by TKO (punches). Round 2, 4:06
155 lbs.: Ivan Castillo def. Danny Ramirez by unanimous decision
125 lbs.: Paul Elizondo Jr. def. Carlos Reyes by submission (rear-naked choke). Round 1, 3:03
135 lbs.: Hector Fajardo def. Shane Torres by majority decision
135 lbs.: Maritza Sanchez def. Lucero Acosta by submission (rear-naked choke). Round 1, 2:35
145 lbs.: Jose Avalos def. Robert Stevenson via submission (rear-naked choke). Round 2, 0:43
145 lbs.: Anthony Parham Jr. def. Brock Dias by split decision
135 lbs.: Mike Tubera def. Austin Liu by unanimous decision