Mike’s MMA Picks Betting Recap for UFC 274, profits, profits and more profits!

As per usual, Mike’s MMA Picks slayed it again this past weekend for UFC 274, going 7-0 on his bets for a hefty 7.72 unit profit.

Mike adds more bets as the fights get closer, so his subscribers get more value due to line movement compared to single event package purchasers.

Mike absolutely drilled the props for UFC London as well, going 6 out of 7 with the props he gave out for the card.

For anyone interested in taking a shot on Mike’s bets, he currently has 1-month or 2-month subscriptions available, which would cover any plays given out through May and June.

Here’s what his subscribers saw before fight night this past weekend:


Mike’s Bets for UFC London

Risking 2.5U on Brandon Royval at -250
  Add-on on 1.5u to Brandon Royval at -240
Add-on on 1u to Brandon Royval at -225

Brandon Royval, 13-6, 29yo, takes on Matt Schnell, 15-6, 32yo, in a flyweight scrap at UFC 274. Royval is an interesting specimen, as he’s got the volume, cardio, and BJJ to cause many opponents fits. The man does not accept any position, and will fight tooth and nail to get back into fights. Although he can get outmuscled at times as well as countered, his chin holds up, and the cardio/will to win is there to turn the tide. His victory vs Bontorin last time out showed us what he’s made of. As did his fight vs Kara-France. Schnell is a quick starter who has shown major chin issues at times, and has wilted in big spots. Schnell’s BJJ is strong, though throughout the course of a 3 round fight, I have faith in Royval’s hunt for a path to victory. At UFC 274 under the bright lights, I trust Brandon Royval to do whatever it takes to walk away with the victory.

Risking 1.5U on Randy Brown at +115

Randy Brown, 14-4, 31yo, takes on Khaos Williams, 13-2, 28yo, in a welterweight scrap at UFC 274. Randy Brown is the better fighter across the board, with the exception of his chin and power punching ability. Brown is a long fighter with a great ground game and cardio. He reminds me a lot of Neil Magny. Khaos Williams’ game has a lot of warts for someone with a 13-2 record. He’s relied on his power to stop opponents in their tracks. There have been a few times where he’s appeared to be outmatched, yet walked away with the victory. I took my chances here on Randy Brown at plus odds. Brown is extremely talented, and if he can avoid the knockout blow, this fight should be his to win.

Risking 1.5U on Lupita Godinez at -170

Risking 3U on the Gaethje-Oliveira fight doesn’t go the distance prop at -400

Risking 1.5U Oliveira-Gaethje UNDER 2.5 rounds at -152

We have a violent matchup on our hands with Charles Oliveira vs Justin Gaethje. Both fighters are the epitome of kill or be killed and will go for the finish when they smell blood. Although I lean to Oliveira to lock up a submission, I also realize that this is the type of fight that may turn into an all out war from the opening bell. Oliveira has shown that his stand up game is legitimate and to be feared. Gaethje has dismal striking defense, and relies far too much on his toughness to get him out of bad spots. I’m expecting this one to end early, and in violent fashion. Gaethje could attempt to chop Oliveira down or lunge in for the kill shot. Oliveira may land a hellacious knee that ends this. Either way someone is likely being finished. I played the under 2.5 rounds, as well as fight doesn’t go the distance. This one should finish 9 out of 10 times. The damage meter will likely be through the roof, and someone may end up on conscious.

Risking 1U Cerrone-Lauzon fight doesn’t go the distance at -160 (Fight canceled)
Add-on 0.5U to Cerrone-Lauzon fight doesn’t go the distance at -160

Joe Lauzon, 28-15, 37yo, makes his return to the Octagon to face Donald Cerrone, 36-16, 39yo, at lightweight at UFC 274. Lauzon has been out since 2019, and most had thought he was retired at this stage in his career. Lauzon is a quick starter who is extremely dangerous in the first round of many fights. He’ll likely try to catch Cerrone early with a submission or heavy punches. Cerrone is now known as welterweight and hasn’t  fought at lightweight since 2019. I’m concerned for how this weight cut may drain him, though also see that he’s been the far more active fighter of the two. If this gets past the first round, Cerrone should be at a massive edge in regards to being able to put on volume. It will likely be Lauzon early or Cerrone late. I lean to Cerrone to get the win, though have locked in fight doesn’t go the distance at -160, which I believe provides solid value.

Risking 1U on the Fialho to win inside the distance prop at -165

Risking 1U on a parlay of Fialho-VanCamp fight doesn’t go the distance/ Gaethje-Oliveira UNDER 4.5 rounds at -142

Written by Brian Hemminger

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