UFC on FUEL TV 3 Odds: Middleweights Jason MacDonald (+135) vs. Tom Lawlor (-165)

Jason MacDonald (+135) Profile: MacDonald (26-15) is 1-4 in his last five UFC bouts, and this could be his last fight in the organization if he loses to Lawlor.  The 36-year-old Canadian is 6-7 in the UFC overall and coming off a loss to Alan Belcher via first-round submission at UFC Fight Night: Shields vs. Ellenberger last September 17.   MacDonald was originally signed by the UFC in 2006 and released in 2009 after suffering through a run of three losses in four bouts, falling to Demian Maia and Wilson Gouveia by submission and Nate Quarry by first-round TKO at UFC 97.  Two of the last three UFC events he has appeared at have been in Canada, with his most recent victory coming against Ryan Jensen at UFC 129 in Toronto last April 30 by triangle choke submission in the first round. Tom Lawlor (-165) Profile: Like MacDonald, Lawlor (7-4, 1 No-Contest) has struggled in the UFC recently, dropping three of his last four.  He is 3-3 in the UFC overall and could also be on his way out of the organization with another loss here.  In his last fight, the 28-year-old Lawlor was choked out in the first round by Chris Weidman at UFC 139 last November 19.  He had opened his UFC career with consecutive wins over Kyle Kingsbury and C.B. Dollaway after appearing in Season 8 of The Ultimate Fighter, where he lost his first fight to eventual winner Ryan Bader via first-round KO.  Lawlor’s most recent victory came against another Canadian Patrick Cote at UFC by unanimous decision following back-to-back losses to Aaron Simpson (split decision) and Joe Doerksen (submission). Odds Analysis: MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas made Lawlor a -165 favorite (bet $165 to win $100) with MacDonald the +135 underdog (bet $100 to win $135).  Even though both fighter have had a tough time registering wins lately in the UFC, MacDonald is eight years older than Lawlor and looks like his career is winding down.  Lawlor’s personality preceded him early on in the UFC, as he was more well-known for his antics, but now he seems to be taking MMA more seriously and realizes he still has time to make a name for himself as a middleweight contender.  MacDonald is a tough fighter who is physically strong and a solid wrestler, and four of his six wins in the UFC have come by submission.  In fact, most of MacDonald’s wins (19) have ended with a submission, so that would be his best shot to pull off the upset against Lawlor.

Written by Matty

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