Prop Plays for UFC 187

Weidman vsUFC 187 Date: May 23, 2015 Arena: MGM Grand Garden Arena City: Las Vegas, NV UFC 187 will be live from Las Vegas, NV this tomorrow night (May 23, 2015) with a stacked 12-fight card, including a five-fight main card that will be live on Pay-Per-View at 10pm ET, with preliminary action preceding it on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm ET and UFC Fight Pass at 6:30pm ET prior to that. If interested in wagering on these props, or any other plays for this PPV fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my prop plays for UFC 187: Daniel Cormier (-130) vs Anthony “Rumble” Johnson (+110) Fight Goes to Decision (+150) 1u to win 1.5u Johnson by Unanimous Decision (+675) 1u to win 6.75u Cormier by Unanimous Decision (+415) 1u to win 4.15u I am favoring this five to go the full five rounds, and really, I could see it going two different ways; either Cormier controlling the action with his superior wrestling, or Johnson controling it with his superior kickboxing. I think it goes the full 25 minutes and it comes down to who did more, but regardless of who it is, I think they will have done enough to win convincingly. Chris Weidman (-525) vs Vitor Belfort (+415) Weidman ITD (-205) 2.05u to win 1u Weidman by Submission (+220) 1u to win 2.2u Weidman -5.5 (-350) 3.5u to win 1u I think Weidman simply outclasses Belfort everywhere in this five round title fight. I see him getting the better of him on the feet with his boxing, but more importantly, on the mat with his wrestling and ultimately his Jiu-Jitsu for the submission victory. Donald Cerrone (-600) vs John Makdessi (+450) Cerrone by Submission (+220) .5u to win 1.1u Cerrone -3.5 (-260) 1.3u to win .5u Makdessi by T/KO (+875) .35u to win 3.06u Makdessi in Round One (+1375) .2u to win 2.75u I think the only way Makdessi wins this fight is if he catches Cerrone, and his best chance of doing that is early, when Cerrone generally starts off slow. That said, I favor “Cowboy” to get the job done here in dominant fashion, either finishing Makdessi or taking home a unanimous 30-27 victory on the judges’ scorecards for his eight straight inside the Octagon. Andrei “The Pitbull” Arlovski (+380) vs Travis “Hapa” Browne (-475) Browne by Decision (+589) 1u to win 5.89u Contrary to popular opinion, I think this fight has a good chance of reaching the judges’ scorecards, despite it being a heavyweight contest and both fighters making claims they will be looking for the knockout finish. I favor “Hapa” to get the job done here, and while a T/KO by the Hawaiian knockout artist would come as no surprise, I think a decision victory is equally or slightly more likely of an outcome. I see Browne outpointing Arlovski over the course of three rounds to pick up a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards.d John “The Magician” Dodson (-525) vs Zach “Fun Size” Makovsky (+415) Moraga by T/KO (+1425) .2u to win 2.85u Just a tiny hedge I like and recommend making if and when the first leg of my Benavidez/Hall and Benavidez-Moraga Over 2.5 rounds/Hall-Natal Under 2.5 rounds parlays come through. I think Moraga’s only chance at winning this fight is by catching Benavidez with a lucky punch, and I hope that is not what happens and this prop bet ends up a loser. John “The Magician” Dodson (-525) vs Zach “Fun Size” Makovsky (+415) Dodson in Round One (+400) .25u to win 1u Dodson is going to be looking to put Makovsky away early in this bout and I think +400 is worth taking a tiny stab at him pulling it off. Dong Hyun Kim (-280) vs Josh Burkman (+240) Burkman in Round One (+725) .4u to win 2.9u Burkman by T/KO (+520) .3u to win 1.56u Burkman by Decision (+645) .45u to win 2.9u To put it simply, these are just three lines I see value in. Islam Makhachev (-350) vs Leo Kuntz (+290) Makhachev ITD (+161) 1u to win 1.61u Makhachev in Round One (+350) .5u to win 1.75u Makhachev -3.5 (-180) 1.8u to win 1u In short, I think Makhachev dominates Kuntz in this bout and finds either a submission or T/KO stoppage for the victory, his first inside the Octagon.

Written by Gabe Killian

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