Gabe Killian’s Wager Recap for Bellator 136, RFA 25, WSOF 20 and UFC FN 64

alexandra-albuThe weekend of fights included four events, culminating with the UFC’s inaugural trip to Poland, and from a betting perspectie, I feel it’s the worst weekend I’ve had this year that did not have refs or judges making mistakes. Getting robbed feels one kind of terrible, and losing very winnable fights/bets is another. I have to admit, this is somewhat worse. I say that because when you get robbed, you have someone to blame, but when you lose this way, you can only point the finger at yourself for making a bad judgement (i.e. believing Sheldon Westcott will have improved cardio.) It’s been a sour weekend, and I’ve got to put it behind me and move forward. Here’s the recap… Straight Plays BELLATOR 136 Jansen (+400) .35u to win 1.4uLOSS Johnson (+300) .85u to win 2.55uWIN RFA 25 Toomer (+220) 1.5u to win 3.3uLOSS Checco (+130) 2.3u to win 2.99uLOSS UFC FIGHT NIGHT 46 Albu (-175) 5.95u to win 3.4uWIN Fabinski/McLellan Over 2.5 rounds (-140) 3.15u to win 2.25uWIN Bandel/Ray Under 1.5 rounds (-165) 1.4u to win .85uWIN Cro Cop (+190) .5u to win .95uWIN Baczynski (+115) 3.35u to win 3.85uLOSS Lee (+175) 2.2u to win 3.85uLOSS Stasiak (-125) 3.31u to win 2.65uLOSS Parlays WSOF 20 Newell (-425), Fodor (-155) and Dugulubgov (-550) at +140 3u to win 4.2uLOSS UFC FIGHT NIGHT 64 Westcott (-190) and Moraes (-360) at -106 for 5u to win 4.75uLOSS Pawlak/Westcott Under 1.5 rounds (+155) and Lebout/Moraes Under 1.5 rounds (+130) at +486 1.75u to win 8.51uLOSS Prop Plays BELLATOR 136 Here are my Bellator props. Carvalho by Decision (+460) .25u to win 1.15uWIN Carvalho/Schilling Goes to Decision (+265) .2u to win .53u – WIN Johnson ITD (+460) .25u to win 1.15u – LOSS Johnson by Decision (+500) .3u to win 1.5u – WIN Volkov by Decision (+403) .35u to win 1.41u – LOSS Not Volkov ITD (+104).5u to win .52u – WIN UFC FIGHT NIGHT 64 Here are my UFC props. Westcott by T/KO (+584) .3u to win 1.75uLOSS Westcott -3.5 (-115) .56to win .75uLOSS Baczynski +3.5 (-145) 1.45u to win 1uLOSS Baczynski ITD (+228) .5u to win 1.14uLOSS Baczynski in Round Two (+675) .4u to win 2.7uLOSS Baczynski in Round Three (+1200) .15u to win 1.8uLOSS Baczynski by Decision (+424) .25u to win 1.06uLOSS Fabinski by Decision (+265) 1u to win 2.65uWIN Fabinski -3.5 (+150) .5u to win .75uWIN Moraes ITD (-136) .95u to win .7uLOSS Moraes -3.5 (-260) .65u to win .25uLOSS Stasiak ITD (+257) .8u to win 2.05uLOSS Stasiak in Round One (+500) .3u to win 1.5uLOSS Stasiak -3.5 (+160) .5u to win .8uLOSS Albu ITD (+165) 1u to win 1.65uWIN Albu in Round One (+375) .4u to win 1.5uLOSS Albu -3.5 (-125) .5u to win .4uWIN Lee by Decision (+472) 1u to win 4.72uLOSS RFA 25 Straight/Parlay total: 0-2 for -3.8u WSOF 20 Straight/Parlay total: 0-1 for -3u BELLATOR 136 Straight/Parlay total: 1-1 for +2.2u Props total: 4-2 for +3.1u Overall total: 5-3 for +5.3u UFC FIGHT NIGHT 46 Straight/Parlay total: 4-5 for -8.16u Props total: 4-14 for -2.76u Overall total: 8-19 for -10.92u WEEKEND TALLY Straight/Parlay total: 5-9 for -12.76 Props total: 8-16 for +0.34u Overall total: 13-25 for -12.42u 2015 Straight/Parlay total: 35-43 for -31.36u Props total: 58-98 for +3.99u Overall total: 93-141 for -27.37u Underdogs: 16-20 for +10.06 Event win/loss: 11-15

Written by Gabe Killian

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