Gabe Killian’s Prop Plays for the TUF 20 Finale

Charles OliveiraTUF 20 Finale Date: December 12, 2014 Arena: The Pearl at Palms Casino Resort City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighter Season 20 Finale will be live from Las Vegas this tonight (Dec. 12, 2014) with 11 scheduled bouts, and the action will be live on FOX Sports 1 at 9pm ET, with preliminary fights preceding it on the same channel at 7pm ET and before that at 6pm ET on UFC Fight Pass. If interested in wagering on these proposition plays, or any other plays for this fight card, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. My prop plays for the TUF 20 Finale are: Charles Oliveira (+127) vs Jeremy Stephens (-137) Fight Doesn’t Go to Decision (-205) 2.05u to win 1u I feel this fight is either going to end with Oliveira catching Stephens with a submission, or with Stephens knocking Oliveira out. I think 15 minutes is plenty of time for either one of those outcomes to take place. I think Stephens has a better chance of getting the knockout, as I think he will find success in keeping the fight on the feet, where he will hold advantages in boxing and punching-power, but instead of playing Stephens, I find it safer to play this prop, as I cannot count out the Brazilian. He is very crafty and keeps improving, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him pull guard and score a submission that way. Regardless of the position he ends up on the mat, I believe he will be at an advantage there with his superior Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, even considering that Stephens has a very solid top game on the mat. To conclude, if this fight hits the mat, I think Oliveira will be able to wrap it up, but if it stays on the feet, I don’t think he will be able to handle too much of Stephens’ power. Angela Magana (+505) vs Tecia Torres (-605) Torres -3.5 (-205) 2.05u to win 1u Torres Inside the Distance (+258) .5u to win 1.29u Torres is worlds better than Magana as a mixed martial artist and I expect a complete blowout in this contest. I don’t believe Magana has anything to offer in this match-up, she will not be able to compete on the feet, and she won’t find success in taking the fat to the mat, where she would also be at a disadvantage. She doesn’t possess the power to knock Torres out, and I don’t think she is strong enough to catch Torres in a sneaky guillotine and finish it off. I think if Torres gets caught in some trouble, she will be able to get free. I think Torres has a great chance of finishing this fight and will expect her to do. If she doesn’t get the finish early on in the fight, then towards the end, because she also has the superior cardio and should be able to take full advantage of a fading and fatiguing Magana. If Magana somehow manages to survive, I’m confident Torres will have done enough to convincingly win every single round on the judges’ scorecards to earn the unanimous 30-27 nod, though I am expecting the finish, and so is she, as she looks to make a statement in her official Octagon debut. Joanne Calderwood (-605) vs Seo Hee Ham (+505) Calderwood -3.5 (-270) 2.7u to win 1u Calderwood Inside the Distance (+113) .4u to win .45u Calderwood is the superior striker heading into this contest and she will have a massive size and reach advantage over Hee Ham, who normally fights a weight class below at 105 pounds. Stepping up to 115 pounds for her UFC debut, I think she is being fed to a wolf. I don’t think she will have much to offer against Calderwood and will ultimately end up getting finished via strikes, if not lose a unanimous 30-27 nod on the judges’ scorecards. If Calderwood desires the finish, I believe she will find it, as I see this match-up as being a great opportunity to add a T/KO victory to her resume. After coming short on the television series, I think she will come out looking to make an impression. Angela Hill (-165) vs Emily Kagan (+155 Hill Inside the Distance (+170) .8u to win 1.4u Simply put, I think Hill is the superior, more versatile striker in this match-up and I think she has a great chance of hurting Kagan with her long limbs and finishing her off. I expect Hill to come out firing and think her takedown defense will hold, if and when Kagan attempts to take the fight to the mat, which will be her game-plan heading into her promotional debut. I believe Hill will find success on the feet, and ultimately, I think she will finish the fight there.

Written by Gabe Killian

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