Gabe Killian’s Prop Plays for UFC Fight Night 41

Gegard MousasiUFC Fight Night 41 Date: May 31, 2014 Arena: O2 World Berlin City: Berlin, Germany The first part of Saturday’s double-header will be UFC Fight Night 41, a 10-fight card that will entirely stream live on UFC Fight Pass. The preliminary card starts at 12:30 pm ET, with the main card kicking off at 3pm ET. If interested in wagering on the props suggested in this article, or any other props or wagers, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. My prop plays for UFC Fight Night 41 are: Gegard Mousasi (-280) vs Mark Munoz (+255) Mousasi -5.5 (-205) 2.05u to win 1u Mousasi, in my opinion, should be able to pick up a convincing decision, if not finish Munoz in this main event middleweight tilt. After the line changes, I will likely drop another unit on this. C.B. Dollaway (+135) vs Francis Carmont (-145) Dollaway Inside the Distance (+549) .5u to win 2.74u I have a play on Carmont, who I favor to win this fight. That said, I see value in this prop and like it for a hedge on my Carmont play. For a full write-up on this middleweight co-main event bout, please refer to my fight article for the bout. Drew Dober (+135) vs Nick Hein (-125) Hein by Decision (+185) 1u to win 1.85u Both of these lightweights are tough, have great heart, and are hard to put away. That combined with the fact that I feel Hein is the superior mixed martial artist makes me favor him to pick up a decision victory in this spot, and at +185, I do think there is value in the play. I am expecting this to be an entertaining fight that takes place on the feet for 15 minutes en route to Hein getting his hand raised via decision. Pawel Pawlak (-185) vs Peter Sobotta (+170) Pawlak Inside the Distance (+166) .5u to win .83u I think Pawlak ending this fight inside the distance is the most likely outcome to this fight, and at +166, I favor it for a small shot. Iuri Alcantara (-355) vs Vaughan Lee (+320) Lee +3.5 (+180) 1u to win 1.8u I think this fight is a lot closer than the odds indicate. Lee has been showing major improvements in his game, especially his striking. I think this fight will be competitive, and will not be surprised to see the Brit pull away with the upset. Should the fight hit the judges’ scorecards, I feel he will have secured at least one of three rounds, so I really like this play. After line movement, I will likely double down on it.

Written by Gabe Killian

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