UFC on FX 4 Opening Odds: Lightweights Sam Stout (-310) vs. Spencer Fisher (+240)

Sam Stout UFC on FX 4 Friday, June 22, 2012 at 9 p.m. (ET) on FX Revel Casino in Atlantic City, New Jersey Sam Stout (-310) Profile: Stout (17-7-1) is 4-4 in his last eight bouts, but he has earned three Fight of the Night bonuses during that stretch (2-1) to go along with one Knockout of the Night award. The 28-year-old Canadian has surprisingly fought in the United States only twice in the past five years with five of his past 10 bouts taking place in Canada, two occurring in England and another in Brazil. Stout has won his last two fights in the U.S. since losing to Spencer Fisher in Florida on June 12, 2007. He handed Fisher a loss in his UFC debut and will be completing a trilogy of bouts against him at UFC on FX 4. Stout’s two Fight of the Night wins both came via unanimous decision against Matt Wiman and Joe Lauzon in consecutive bouts at UFC 97 and UFC 108, respectively. He is coming off a unanimous decision loss against Thiago Tavares at UFC 142 earlier this year, halting a two-fight winning streak. Spencer Fisher (+240) Profile: Fisher (24-8) has lost four of his last five bouts inside the Octagon and will complete a trilogy of fights against Stout at UFC on FX 4 in what could be his last appearance. Another loss would likely signal the 36-year-old’s release from the UFC even though three of his past four have gone the distance.  Fisher is coming off a second-round TKO loss to Tavares at UFC 134, and his only victory within the last three years came by unanimous decision against Curt Warburton at UFC 120. Following a 17-1 start to his pro career, he began his run in the organization with a split-decision loss to Stout at UFC 58 back on March 4, 2006. Fisher later beat Stout by unanimous decision in the rematch a year later but proceeded to lose to former UFC lightweight champion Frankie Edgar in his very next bout. He went on a three-fight winning streak after losing to Edgar and just prior to starting his current skid. Opening MMA Odds Analysis: MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas has installed Stout as the -310 favorite (bet $310 to win $100) while Fisher opened as a +240 underdog (bet $100 to win $240) according to the MMA odds. While neither fighter currently appears in the MMA OddsBreaker MMA Fighter Rankings, that could change if one of them turns in a great performance here. Another Knockout of the Night win for Stout is not out of the question, as he would love nothing more than to send Fisher into retirement. Fisher will lean on his past MMA experience though and has the ability to pull off the upset. This could be another Fight of the Night candidate for Stout as well.  

Written by MMA OddsBreaker

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