UFC 165 Submission of the Night Betting Props UFC on 164 is live from the Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada tonight! The 13-fight card will feature many exciting fights, and likely plenty of finishes. The UFC will be handing out a $50,000 bonus for “Submission of the Night” — the option to bet on which fighter will win said bonus is only available at Several Bookmakerss. I believe the top condenders for this prize are: Renan Barao +400 — If you think Barao is going to win inside the distance, and that happens, it’s very likely going to be by way of submission. If Barao finishes Wineland with a sub, he will most likely get the award. So if you’re someone who predicts a Barao by Submission victory, this prop may be for you. Wilson Reis +1650 — Reis is facing a talented submission grappler in Ivan Menjivar, but I believe he will have the advantage on the ground heading into this bout. Should the fight hit the mat, I think Reis’ chances of securing a submission are fairly decent, especially in rounds two and three. Considering the odds, I see serious value in this line. Dustin Kimura +750 — Of everybody on the entire card, if I had to pick one fighter and say “this guy is going to win by submission”, it would be Dustin Kimura. I see the tough Hawaiian outlasting Gagnon and then choking him out when he’s gassed. Renee Forte +1650 — If the fight hits the mat, it’s going to be Forte’s world and I think he will have a decent chance at securing a submission. Gabe’s SOTN Play: 1*UNIT on Reis +1650, 1*UNIT on Kimura +700, and 1*UNIT on Forte +1650 — Risking 3*UNITS to win 14.5*UNITS if either Reis or Forte wins, or 5*UNITS if Kimura wins.