UFC on FX 3 Opening Odds: Bantamweights Scott Jorgensen (-220) vs. Eddie Wineland (+180)

UFC on FX 3 UFC on FX 3 Friday, June 8, 2012 at 9 p.m. (ET) on FX BankAtlantic Center in Sunrise, Florida Scott Jorgensen (-220) Profile: Jorgensen (13-5) is 2-1 in the UFC and will try to bounce back from a unanimous decision loss to Renan Barao at UFC 143 on February 4. The 29-year-old Boise native previously defeated Jeff Curran (unanimous decision) and Ken Stone (first-round knockout) in the UFC before a string of 10 appearances in the WEC. Jorgensen went 7-3 in the WEC with losses coming against Damacio Page, Antonio Banuelos and Dominick Cruz – all by decision. In fact, four of his five career losses have come via decision while more than half of his wins (seven) have also gone to the judges to go along with four submissions and two knockouts. The loss to Cruz was for the WEC and UFC bantamweight titles. Eddie Wineland (+180) Profile: Wineland (18-8-1) is 0-2 in the UFC, but both losses have come against top-level opponents. The 27-year-old WEC veteran fell by unanimous decision to both bantamweight title contender Urijah Faber at UFC 128 last March 19 and then Joseph Benavidez at UFC Live: Hardy vs. Lytle five months later. Benavidez later moved down to flyweight and will fight for the title against either Demetrious Johnson or Ian McCall. Before that recent skid, Wineland reeled off four straight wins in the WEC before making the move to the UFC, twice earning Knockout of the Night honors. Wineland started off his MMA career with a 3-4-1 mark before winning his next nine fights to earn his way into the WEC. UFC on FX 3 Opening Odds Analysis: MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas opened Jorgensen as a solid -220 favorite (bet $220 to win $100) against Wineland, the +180 underdog (bet $100 to win $180). Bettors have been putting their money on Jorgensen, moving the MMA odds on him to -240 with Wineland as high as +200 at some sportsbooks. Wineland’s 0-2 mark in the UFC is a bit of a concern even though the losses came against Faber and Benavidez. This will be another tough opponent for Wineland considering Jorgensen has fought the likes of Barao and Cruz, who are two of the top three bantamweights according to the MMA OddsBreaker MMA Fighter Rankings. Faber ranks in the Top 3 as well, but Jorgensen’s more balanced fighting background as a purple belt in Jiu-Jitsu and former Division 1 wrestler could be the difference here. He also has a better chance to grind out a tough decision.

Written by Matty

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