UFC on FX 3 Opening Odds: Welterweights Erick Silva (-140) vs. Charlie Brenneman (+110)

UFC on FX 3 UFC on FX 3 Friday, June 8, 2012 at 9 p.m. (ET) on FX BankAtlantic Center in Sunrise, Florida Erick Silva (-140) Profile: Silva (13-2, 1 No-Contest) is looking to rebound from a disqualification loss to Carlo Prater at UFC 142 on January 14 for illegal punches to the back of the head. The 27-year-old Brazilian has not fought professionally outside of his native country, previously participating in two UFC events in Rio de Janeiro. Before that loss to Prater, Silva won four in a row following a No-Contest against Henrique Oliveira for an illegal knee. He scored a TKO victory against Luis Ramos at UFC 134 last August 27 in his UFC debut, and his only other previous loss came against Mario Neto at Superfight Vitoria nearly six years ago. Charlie Brenneman (+110) Profile: Brenneman (15-3) gained some fame after earning a unanimous decision win against Rick Story a year ago at UFC Live: Kongo vs. Barry as a fill-in for Nate Marquardt. The 31-year-old also won the first season of the television show Pros vs. Joes before beginning his MMA career, amassing an 11-1 record before signing with the UFC. In his UFC debut, “The Spaniard” earned a unanimous decision victory against Jason High and then suffered a second-round TKO loss to top welterweight contender Johny Hendricks at UFC 117 on August 7, 2010. After beating Story in an upset, Brenneman lost his very next bout in the first round to Anthony Johnson by TKO at UFC Live: Cruz vs. Johnson before bouncing back with a unanimous decision win over Daniel Roberts on January 20. UFC on FX 3 Opening Odds Analysis: MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas opened Silva as a small -140 favorite (bet $140 to win $100) against Brenneman, the +110 underdog (bet $100 to win $110). The MMA odds have seen more action on the favored Silva so far, as he has moved to -170 or higher at some sportsbooks while bettors can take back +140 or more. Silva’s DQ loss will not affect those who back him, which is very similar to the lone setback UFC light heavyweight champion Jon Jones suffered in his career against Matt Hammill for illegal elbows. Silva had clearly beaten Prater and has only one other loss on his ledger that happened more than five years ago. Brenneman has shown glimpses of what he can do but simply does not have the well-rounded skill set as a mixed martial artist when compared to Silva, who also won the inaugural Jungle Fight welterweight championship before signing with the UFC.

Written by Matty

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