Light Heavyweight bout: Anthony Perosh (+355) vs Vinny Magalhaes(-400) Fight Breakdown: Headlining the UFC 163 preliminary card on FX is a likely loser goes home match-up between TUF season 8 finalist and decorated Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt Vinny Magalhaes and Australia’s 41 year old Anthony Perosh. Vinny is the considerable favorite at -400 ($400 to win $100) while Perosh is the large underdog at +355 ($100 to win $355) at 5Dimes Sportsbooks.
Anthony Perosh (13-7 MMA, 3-5 UFC) is returning after a suffering a brutal knockout loss at the hands of Ryan Jimmo in Calgary, Alberta, Canada one year ago. It was one of the fastest knockouts in UFC history, as Jimmo put Perosh away with one punch at the seven second mark of the very first round. (That was Ryan Jimmo’s UFC debut and I had predicted he would win Knockout of the Night on the Punchdrunk Sports Podcast.) The punch put Perosh out cold and took a while to wake back up. He had been on a roll, that knockout snapped a three fight winning streak he had built. Anthony Perosh is only average-at-best with his striking, but he is certainly a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu ace. When he gets a hold of his opponent, it’s only a matter of time before he finds a tap. The fact that 9 out of 13 of his career victories have come by way of submission reflects how dangerous he is on the mat. Anthony Perosh fights for the finish and he will be looking to get one against Vinny Magalhaes. Vinny Magalhaes (10-6 MMA, 1-3 UFC) looks to get his second UFC win as he bounces back from a Unanimous Decision loss verus Phil Davis at UFC 159 only three months ago. Vinny has arguably the best Brazilian Jiu Jitsu not only in his division, but the entire organization. He is a beast on the mat; he will easily tap black belts, should they be foolish to go to the ground with him. Vinny’s striking isn’t good but he is improving on it. I think he feels he could win this fight standing or on the mat, but it would likely be a mistake if he tries to stand. While Perosh doesn’t have a great chin, neither does Vinny. Not to mention he is inferior to Perosh in the striking department. It would be wise of him to get the fight to the ground, even if he has to pull guard, so he can use his superior jiu-jitsu to give Anthony Perosh the first submission loss of his professional mixed martial arts career. Fight Prediction: The fight hits the mat sooner than later and Vinny proves to Perosh that his jiu-jitsu is on another level, making himself a candidate for Submission of the Night, the prop of which is worth a bet at +650. Gabe’s Pick: Vinny Magalhaes by Submission (triangle-armbar, 1:38 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Fight won’t start round 3 -125