Hex Fight Series 14 Opening Odds Reactions

Hex Fight Series 14 takes place Saturday, June 30 at Melbourne Pavilion in Melbourne, Australia. The offshore sportsbooks recently opened up the full odds for the card, and here they are.

Hex Fight Series 14 Opening Odds

Aidan Aguilera -175
Josh Togo +135

Brayden Graham -130
Ryan Robertson -110

Jordan O’Connor -130
Mitchell Birkett -110

Mohammad Alavi -160
Sy Leafa +120

Kitt Campbell -265
Saeed Fatahifar +185

Joshua Riley -145
Hussein Wassette +105

Hoshi Friedrich -120
Saeed Karasz -120

And here are my initial thoughts on these odds:

– If you haven’t heard of Hex Fighting Series yet, you will now. The promotion recently sent its light heavyweight champion Jim Crute to Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series, and he will fight this summer on the show. The UFC’s matchmakers have their eye on this emerging promotion, and other fighters potentially on this card could join Crute over in the United States. Keep in mind that on this particular card, many of the fighters do not have much professional experience, but there could still be some hidden betting value here.

– The main event is a welterweight bout between Campbell and Fatahifar. Campbell (8-3) recently lost a decision to Matt Vaile at Hex Fight Series 13 but prior to that had racked up four-straight wins including three knockouts. A veteran of BRACE, Australian FC and Hex, Campbell is someone the promotion clearly is trying to push. Fatahifar (6-3) has won three-straight fights and is a veteran of BRACE, Nitro MMA and ACB. This is a striker vs. grappler matchup for the most part and I favor the striker in Campbell. From what I’ve seen this guy packs some serious power in his punches and I wouldn’t be surprised to eventually see him on the Contender Series.

– There could be a betting opportunity in the Graham vs. Robertson fight. Graham (1-1) may be .500 as a pro but he did go 5-2 as an amateur. And his lone win as a pro came by submission. Robertson (3-6) is coming off of a KO win at Hex Fight Series 10 but he’s been submitted five times in his career so far. There might be some value on Graham in this fight considering the style matchup.

– The Riley vs. Wassette featherweight bout is the perfect example of knowing when to pass on a bet. Wassette (0-0) is making his pro debut and not much is known about him. Riley (1-2) is on a two-fight losing streak. This is the kind of fight I would never bet on.

– Another fight that I wouldn’t want to bet on is the Friedrich vs. Karasz bout. This is a Pick ’em fight so it might be tempting to bet on someone here at a cheap price, but I don’t think I could trust either guy. Friechrich (5-5) has lost three of his last five bouts by stoppage and was brutally knocked out by UFC veteran Anton Zafir in his last outing. Karasz (2-3-1) is coming off of a decision win at Hex Fight Series 13 but prior to that had not won in three-straight fights. These are two inconsistent fighters and again, while it might be tempting to make a play on someone here because of the Pick ’em odds, it’s probably smarter to pass.

Written by Adam Martin.

Leave a Reply

Gabe Killian’s Main Card Live Dogs for UFC 226

Gabe Killian’s Preliminary Card Live Dogs for UFC 226