Prop Plays for UFC 216


UFC 216
Date: October 7th
Arena: T-Mobile Arena
City: Las Vegas, NV

The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in Las Vegas, NV with UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee. The 13-fight card is scheduled to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 6:15 p.m. ET. Prelims will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8 p.m., with the main card getting going on on Pay Per View at 10 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for these fight cards, all betting lines are made available at Several Bookmakers.

Fabricio Werdum (-255) vs. Derrick Lewis (+225)

Lewis by T/KO (+339)

Lewis in Round One (+550)

I favor Lewis to win this fight by knockout and I think he does so within the opening round of action. Werdum’s chin is very questionable and Lewis is one of the heaviest hitters in the UFC’s heavyweight division, so I think all it will take is one clean shot for him to put the Brazilian away. I think Lewis keeps this fight standing and puts Werdum away flush with one shot. If Werdum fails to secure a takedown and pulls guard, I think Lewis will be capable of knocking him out via ground and pound before getting submitted. I really do think all it will take for Lewis to win this fight is to land clean just one time, whether on the feet or on the mat. I don’t think Werdum’s chin take take the power Lewis can dish out.

Magomed Bibulatov (-570) vs. John Moraga (+480)

Bibulatov by Decision (-150)

I think Bibulatov defeating Moraga by decision is the most likely outcome to this 125-pound contest, so I see value in the Bibulatov by Decision prop at -150, especially considering he is is a massive -570 betting favorite on the moneyline. Moraga has both solid wrestling and boxing, but I expect Bibulatov to get the better of him on the mat and on the feet for three rounds of action en route to picking up a one-sided unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards, making it his second straight inside the Octagon.

Matt Schnell (-110) vs. Marco Beltran (+100)

Beltran Inside the Distance (+228)

Beltran by Submission (+950)

In short, I think Beltran should be favored in this flyweight matchup and I think he stands a good chance of handing Schnell his third consecutive defeat inside the Octagon, and I think there’s a good chance he does so inside the distance.

Written by Gabe Killian

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