Two-Way Parlay for UFC 210’s Fight Pass Prelims

Desmond GreenUFC 210 Date: April 8, 2017 Arena: KeyBank Center City: Buffalo, NY The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) heads back to Buffalo, NY for the second time in promotional history and first time in nearly 22 years with UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II. The stacked 13-fight card is set to kick off with four preliminary fights on UFC Fight Pass at 6:15 p.m. ET, with preliminary action continuing on FOX Sports 1 at 8 p.m. and the main card getting underway at 10 p.m. on Pay-Per-View. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines are available at Several Bookmakers. Here is my parlay: Lightweight bout: Josh Emmett (-230) vs. Desmond Green (+190) Gabe’s Thoughts: Green finally gets the call to the big show and is set to make his promotional debut in his backyard. He will be looking to hand Team Alpha Male product Emmett the first official loss of his pro MMA career. Emmett is coming off a unanimous-decision win over Scott Holtzman and enjoys a two-fight winning streak in the UFC. I like Emmett in this matchup, however, I don’t see any betting value in him at his current asking price of -230, as I think he should favored at -200. The play I like for this fight is the Total of Over 2.5 rounds at -200, as I think that line should be -250. Gabe’s Call: Emmett by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Flyweight bout: Magomed Bibulatov (-485) vs. Jenel Lausa (+385) Gabe’s Thoughts: Bibulatov is making his UFC debut against Lausa in this traditional “striker versus grappler” matchup in which Bibulatov is the grappler. I think this fight comes down to whether Lausa can keep this fight standing or not, and my vote is no. I think Bibulatov out-grinds Lausa to pick up a unanimous-decision victory in this contest, but I don’t think he is worth playing at -485, as I think he should be a -300 betting favorite heading into this contest. At these odds, I see this fight as a “dog or pass” situation, and I am ultimately going to opt to pass on making a play on the dog. Instead, I will take the Total of Over 2.5 rounds at -210, as I think that line should also be -300. Gabe’s Call: Bibulatov by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 20-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Emmett/Green Over 2.5 rounds (-200) and Bibulatov/Lausa Over 2.5 rounds (-210) at +121

Written by Gabe Killian

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