Prop Plays for UFC Fight Night 104

Chas SkellyUFC Fight Night 104: Bermudez vs Korean Zombie Date: February 4, 2016 Arena: Toyota Center City: Houston, TX The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in Houston, TX for the fifth time in promotional history with UFC Fight Night 104: Bermudez vs Korean Zombie. The 12-fight card kicks off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 7pm ET, and the prelims continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm, with the main card getting underway at 10pm. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available to you at Several Bookmakers. Here are my prop plays: Chan Sung Jung (+175) vs Dennis Bermudez (-190) Bermudez by Decision (+157) 1u to win 1.57u In short, I think this is the most likely outcome to this featherweight main event scheduled for five rounds. Alexa Grasso (-310) vs Felice Herrig (+280) Grasso by Decision (-118) 1.18u to win 1u Grasso -3.5 (-140) 2.8u to win 2u I believe Grasso will win this match-up in dominant fashion and I think the victory is most likely to come via one-sided unanimous decision following three rounds of action. Jessica Andrade (-525) vs Angela Hill (+450) Andrade by Decision (+181) 2u to win 3.62u I think this is the most likely outcome to this strawweight contest and see a lot of value in the current betting line. Andrade is -525 straight up, so getting her to win by decision at +181 screams value to me. Curtis Blaydes (-330) vs Adam Milstead (+270) Blaydes by Decision (+347) 1u to win 3.47u I could see Blaydes earning a late TKO stoppage in this heavyweight contest, but I think a win on the judges’ scorecards is a more likely outcome, because I think Milstead is likely to tough it out and survive to see the judges’ scorecards. Chas Skelly (-250) vs Chris Gurtzemacher (+230) Fight Goes to Decision (+140) 2u to win 2.8u Putting it simply, I think this featherweight bout hits the judges’ scorecards for a decision much more often than not and think the most likely outcome for both fighters is a decision win. At +140, I see a lot of value in this prop and like it for a wager. Tecia Torres (-280) vs Bec Rawlings (+255) Torres by Decision (-142) 1.42u to win 1u I believe that Torres defeating Rawlings by decision is the most likely outcome to this strawweight match-up that’s now been turned to a catchweight due to Rawlings missing weight by a pound and a half. I feel that Torres is the superior mixed martial artist of the two and I favor her to pick up a clear cut unanimous decision victory in this contest. Alex Morono (-107) vs Niko Price (-108) Price by Decision (+334) 2u to win 6.68u This fight is a quick turnaround for both fighters, but it’s even more short notice for Price, who submitted Brandon Thatch in his Octagon debut just a couple of weeks ago. Remaining undefeated following his impressive first round arm triangle choke victory, he aims to make it two in a row for himself inside the Octagon by taking out Houston’s own Morono in his hometown. I favor this fight to hit the judges’ scorecards for a decision, where I think Price does enough to earn the nod more often than not. I think Price winning by decision is the most likely outcome to this 170-pound contest, so I see tremendous value in it at it’s current asking price of +334. Click Here to Make a Donation!

Written by Gabe Killian

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