Prop Plays for UFC 207

Dominick CruzUFC 207: Nunes vs Rousey Date: December 30, 2016 Arena: T-Mobile Arena City: Las Vegas, NV The UFC 207 fight card is stacked with 10 scheduled bouts, with preliminary action getting going at 7:30pm ET on UFC Fight Pass and continuing on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm. The main card will be live on Pay Per View at 10pm, and all betting lines will be made available at 5Dimes Sportsbook. Here are my prop plays: Amanda Nunes (+110) vs Ronda Rousey (-130) Rousey in Round One (+175) 2u to win 3.5u I expect Rousey to do what Rousey does best, and that’s earn another first round stoppage. I believe Rousey by first round submission is the most likely outcome to this women’s bantamweight title fight. Dominick Cruz (-225) vs Cody Garbrandt (+185) Cruz Inside the Distance (+245) 1u to win 2.45u I think Cruz winning this fight on the judges’ scorecards is the most likely outcome to this bantamweight title fight, however I think the Cruz Inside the Distance prop at +245 holds more value than the Cruz by Decision prop at +134. While Cruz is not necessarily a power striker, I do think he is capable of stopping Garbrandt with strikes over the course of 25 minutes of action. I favor him to win on the scorecards but I think a finish by either T/KO or submission are likely outcomes. If Garbrandt is not focused and continuously looks for the knockout, then he will make a lot of mistakes; and all the champion would need is one to capitalize on and use his veteran experience to end the fight. TJ Dillashaw (-255) vs John Lineker (+215) Dillashaw by Submission (+690) 1u to win 6.9u I see value in this betting line, as I think there is a good chance that Dillashaw uses his wresttling in this contest, at which point submission opportunities will present themselves and he will likely find a choke to earn a submission victory. Johny Hendricks (+100) vs Neil Magny (-120) Hendricks by Decision (+289) 1u to win 2.89u I think this is the most likely outcome to this welterweight contest and see value in this betting line. I see Hendricks getting in on Magny’s long lengs and taking him down repeatedly for three rounds en route to a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. This is a do or die fight for the former champ Hendricks and I expect him to leave it all inside the Octagon in an effort to get his hand raised and return to the win column. Alex Oliveira (-105) vs Tim Means (-115) Oliveira by Decision (+215) 1u to win 2.15u Oliveira has good wrestling and I think that will be the difference in this welterweight contest, as I see him scoring takedowns and spending time in top position for the majority of three rounds en route to a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. Click Here to Make a Donation!

Written by Gabe Killian

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