Opening Betting Odds for LFA 100: Altamirano vs. Smith


LFA 100: Altamirano vs. Smith takes place on Friday, February 19 at Hartman Arena in Park City, Kansas. The offshore sportsbooks recently opened up the betting odds for the event, and MMAOB staff writer Adam Martin takes a look at the opening odds below.

LFA 100 Odds

Nate Smith -160
Victor Altamirano +130

Christian Natividad -500
Evan Woolsey +375

Anthony Adams -130
Gregory Rodrigues +100

Charles Johnson -210
Karlee Pangilinan +170

Steve Nguyen -325
Jorge Nunez +250

Gerald Scott -240
Tommy Aaron +190

Here are my initial thoughts on the Opening Odds for LFA 100:

  • The main event of LFA 100 sees Nate Smith (6-1) take on Victor Altamirano (8-1) for the vacant LFA flyweight championship. Smith was most recently seen on Dana White’s Contender Series where he lost by submission to ground expert Jimmy Flick. There’s no shame in that being his first career loss, and before that Smith had won four straight fights by stoppage. I’m inclined to believe the 25-year-old American can bounce back here. He takes on Altamirano, who is an LFA mainstay. The 30-year-old Mexican has won all but one of his professional MMA contests, with the lone loss coming against former UFC flyweight Jarred Brooks. Since then, he’s bounced back with two straight wins in the LFA cage. Both these fighters are very evenly-matched and you can see that from the competitive opening line.
  • In the co-main event, Contender Series alum Anthony Adams (8-2) takes on middleweight Gregory Rodrigues (7-3). Adams fought twice on Dana White’s show, dropping decisions to Impa Kasanganay and Chibwikem Onyenegecha. He is a talented kickboxer known as “Sugafoot” but many of his wins have come by decision, a bit of a surprise given his nickname. In this contest, Adams takes on Rodrigues, who is in a similar situation to Adams in that he lost on the Contender Series in his last fight. Rodrigues suffered a knockout loss to current UFC fighter Jordan Williams in that contest which snapped a six-fight winning streak for the Brazilian. Given the stylistic matchup in this fight, it seems likely that Rodrigues would want to take this fight to the mat, where he has won four fights by submission. The ground game could be the key for Rodrigues to beat Adams as an underdog in this spot, but Adams will have the striking advantage. It’s an intriguing matchup and once again the odds for it are very close.
  • One fight that doesn’t have close odds is a bantamweight bout between Christian Natividad (2-0) and Evan Woolsey (1-1). Natividad’s brother Kevin fights in the UFC already and his brother Christian looks to join him there soon. After going 5-0 as an amateur with four finishes, Natividad joined the professional ranks in 2020 and won both of his fights in LFA both first-round knockout. He looks to be a great prospect and not surprisingly he’s been attached with a -500 pricetag here. Against him stands Woolsey, who is just 1-1 as a professional MMA fighter. He has not competed in MMA since 2014, but he has competed in boxing since then, going 2-7. Based on his inactivity, the oddsmakers aren’t giving Woolsey much of a chance here.

Written by Adam Martin.


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