UFC 234 Opening Odds Reactions

mma, ufc, odds, betting, opening odds, ufc 234

UFC 234 takes place Saturday, February 9 at Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne, Australia The offshore sportsbooks recently opened up the full odds for the card, and here they are.

UFC 234 Opening Odds

Robert Whittaker -245
Kelvin Gastelum +175

Israel Adesanya -400
Anderson Silva +280

Rani Yahya -175
Ricky Simon +135

Devonte Smith -230
Dong Hyun Kim +170

Jim Crute -245
Ryan Spann +175

Shane Young -275
Austin Arnett +195

Montana de la Rosa -120
Nadia Kassem -120

Kai Kara-France -245
Raulian Paiva +175

Kyung Ho Kang -305
Teruto Ishihara +225

Lando Vannata -275
Marcos Rosa +195

Jalin Turner -300
Callan Potter +220

Jonathan Martinez -180
Wuliji Buren +140

And here are my initial reactions to the 234 opening odds:

  • I’m loving the main event between Whittaker and Gastelum. It’s a fight between two former welterweights who have looked exceptional at middleweight, especially Whittaker, the middleweight champion. That being said, I think there may be some value on Gastelum here. Whittaker has been taking a ton of damage in recent fights and has dealt with numerous injuries. Gastelum matches up pretty well with Whittaker and I am expecting a very competitive fight here, so to me it’s dog-or-pass. I just think you have to take a shot at the plus money here on Gastelum in what looks like close to an even fight to me on paper.
  • The co-main event looks like a mismatch, however. As dominant as Silva once was, he’s a shell of his former self and hasn’t fought in forever. It’s pretty clear the UFC booked this fight to get Adesanya a highlight-reel win over a Hall of Famer. I fully expect Adesanya to catch Silva on the chin and put him away, and I expect him to be a popular parlay piece. Some are of the mindset that this fight could go the distance, but to me Adesanya is going to get to the finish and I would be chasing that prop.
  • Another favorite on the main card who I like is Crute. I think the young Aussie has the potential to be a light heavyweight contender for years to come, and Alvey is just a gatekeeper. For some reason, the early public action has come in on Alvey and the fight is basically a Pick ’em now. At those kind of odds, you have to bet on Crute as a small favorite given his advantages in age, athleticism, and of course fighting in his hometown.
  • A couple of other fighters who I believe should win their fights include Vannata, who should beat Rosa and save his UFC career; Kang, who should be able to top Ishihara (who needs to be faded); and Martinez, as Buren is another guy on this card who needs to be faded.
  • The early prelims feature a number of fighters who have limited experience in the Octagon, and anytime that happens I always caution against going heavy. Of course, it’s worth digging into some of these newcomers to see if any of the dogs can pull through, but I would rather go heavy on fighters who have proven themselves in the Octagon rather than lay the juice on relative unknowns.



Written by Adam Martin.

New Fights Added To UFC 235 Including Frankie Saenz vs. Marlon Vera